Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Index Rebalance

Shanghai United Imaging Health (688271 CH)

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in December.
All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

<ul>
<li>Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.</li>
<li>Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.</li>
</ul>


Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.
Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

<p>Post market close on 27 August, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 September.</p><p>There are 5 inclusions and 5 exclusions in the review. The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pylon-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33153:1" rel="noopener">Pylon Technologies Co Ltd (688063 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33460:1" rel="noopener">3peak (688536 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-supcon-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33457:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianneng-battery-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33458:1" rel="noopener">Tianneng Battery Group (688819 CH)</a>, while the deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-fangbang-electronics-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30313:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics-A (688020 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piesat-information-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30328:1" rel="noopener">Piesat Information Technology (688066 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shen-lian-biomedical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30339:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical (688098 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-lifotronic-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30395:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Lifotronic Technology-A (688389 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH)</a>. </p><p>The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. This is surprising (but not totally unexpected) since there were 141 stocks that were listed for longer than 1 year and that number was at the upper end of the 100-150 range where the methodology would change to use a minimum 12 month listing history.</p><p>Even more surprising is the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH)</a>. The stock ranks much higher than other index constituents and we cannot see any reason for its deletion from the index.</p><p>The inclusions, exclusions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 10.46% and result in a one-way trade of CNY4.05bn.</p>

Post market close on 27 August, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX). The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 September.There are 5 inclusions and 5 exclusions in the review. The inclusions are Pylon Technologies Co Ltd (688063 CH), 3peak (688536 CH), Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH), Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH) and Tianneng Battery Group (688819 CH), while the deletions are Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics-A (688020 CH), Piesat Information Technology (688066 CH), Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical (688098 CH), Shenzhen Lifotronic Technology-A (688389 CH) and Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH). The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. This is surprising (but not totally unexpected) since there were 141 stocks that were listed for longer than 1 year and that number was at the upper end of the 100-150 range where the methodology would change to use a minimum 12 month listing history.Even more surprising is the deletion of Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH). The stock ranks much higher than other index constituents and we cannot see any reason for its deletion from the index.The inclusions, exclusions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 10.46% and result in a one-way trade of CNY4.05bn.

STAR50 Index Rebalance: If You Obey All The Rules, You Miss All The Fun

Beijing Huafeng Test & Control / Index Rebalance

Beijing Huafeng Test & Control (688200 CH)

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> is a free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 50 largest stocks based on full market cap that are listed on the STAR Market.</p></div><div><p>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the results of the rebalance will be announced towards the end of August and the changes will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 September.</p></div><div>
<p>With only 2 trading days left in the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shen-lian-biomedical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30339:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical (688098 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piesat-information-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30328:1" rel="noopener">Piesat Information Technology (688066 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-fang-bang-electr-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30313:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Fang Bang Electr-A (688020 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-lifotronic-techno-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30395:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Lifotronic Techno-A (688389 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appotronics-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28235:1" rel="noopener">Appotronics Corp Ltd (688007 CH)</a> as high probability deletions from the index.</p>
<p>Coming up with a definitive list of inclusions is tougher given the subjectivity of the index rules for this review. The subjectivity comes from the whether the index committee uses a minimum listing history period of 12 months or 6 months.</p>
<p>Higher probability inclusions (<em>if a 12 month minimum listing history is used</em>) are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eyebright-medical-technology-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33455:1" rel="noopener">Eyebright Medical Technology Beijing (688050 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinocelltech-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33456:1" rel="noopener">Sinocelltech Group (688520 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-huafeng-test-control-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30367:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Huafeng Test &amp; Control Technology-A (688200 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-orient-gene-biotech-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30379:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech-A (688298 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tinavi-medical-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33453:1" rel="noopener">Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277 CH)</a>.</p>
<p>Lower probability inclusions (<em>if a 6 month minimum listing history is used</em>) are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-supcon-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33457:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianneng-battery-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33458:1" rel="noopener">Tianneng Battery Group (688819 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33460:1" rel="noopener">3peak (688536 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pylon-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33153:1" rel="noopener">Pylon Technologies Co Ltd (688063 CH)</a>.</p>
<p>The inclusions, exclusions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 8.45% and result in a one-way trade of CNY3.3bn.</p>
</div>

The SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX) is a free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 50 largest stocks based on full market cap that are listed on the STAR Market.The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the results of the rebalance will be announced towards the end of August and the changes will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 September.
With only 2 trading days left in the review period, we see Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical (688098 CH), Piesat Information Technology (688066 CH), Guangzhou Fang Bang Electr-A (688020 CH), Shenzhen Lifotronic Techno-A (688389 CH) and Appotronics Corp Ltd (688007 CH) as high probability deletions from the index.
Coming up with a definitive list of inclusions is tougher given the subjectivity of the index rules for this review. The subjectivity comes from the whether the index committee uses a minimum listing history period of 12 months or 6 months.
Higher probability inclusions (if a 12 month minimum listing history is used) are Eyebright Medical Technology Beijing (688050 CH), Sinocelltech Group (688520 CH), Beijing Huafeng Test &amp; Control Technology-A (688200 CH), Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech-A (688298 CH) and Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277 CH).
Lower probability inclusions (if a 6 month minimum listing history is used) are Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH), Tianneng Battery Group (688819 CH), Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH), 3peak (688536 CH) and Pylon Technologies Co Ltd (688063 CH).
The inclusions, exclusions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 8.45% and result in a one-way trade of CNY3.3bn.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Turnover in a Volatile Market

China

Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells intelligent audio system on a chip (SoC) products. The Company produces bluetooth audio chips, type-C audio chips, and other related products. Bestechnic (Shanghai) supplies its products to headsets, intelligent audio terminals, and other makers.

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Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

There are 5 changes for the STAR50 in Dec. The changes were forecast; the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last week. Historically, a long...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. That means 5 changes in December. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

There could be 4/5 changes if a 12/6 month minimum listing history is used. Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance: If You Obey All The Rules, You Miss All The Fun

There are 5 changes to the STAR Index at the Sep rebalance. The index provider has used a 6 month minimum listing history. One-way turnover is in...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Turnover in a Volatile Market

We see 5 changes at the September rebalance and expect CSI/SSE to use a 12 month minimum listing history. One way turnover is around 8.45% and most...

Brian Freitas

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