Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,114/1,105 points and the resistance at 1,130/1,135 points.</li><li>The technical signals remain in a downtrend (last week showed potential for a rebound, but the index failed to break above 1,144 points).</li><li>If the index falls below 1,114 points, it will reflect downside risk toward 1,094 points (the gap opened on April 9) or even 1,056 points (the year’s low).</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,114/1,105 points and the resistance at 1,130/1,135 points.The technical signals remain in a downtrend (last week showed potential for a rebound, but the index failed to break above 1,144 points).If the index falls below 1,114 points, it will reflect downside risk toward 1,094 points (the gap opened on April 9) or even 1,056 points (the year’s low).

KTX Zoom: Risk-Off Sentiment Emerging Due to the Middle East War, Weighing on Risk Assets

<ul><li>Israel’s attack on Iran added pressure to global bourses, while AOT saw a sharp decline.</li><li>However, oil prices surged, boosting energy stocks — particularly PTTEP — alongside gains in DELTA and banking stocks, which helped limit the index’s overall drop.</li><li>Despite these supportive factors, the index remained under pressure owing to ongoing domestic political uncertainty and a sluggish economic outlook, ending the week down 1.21% week-on-week.</li></ul>

Israel’s attack on Iran added pressure to global bourses, while AOT saw a sharp decline.However, oil prices surged, boosting energy stocks — particularly PTTEP — alongside gains in DELTA and banking stocks, which helped limit the index’s overall drop.Despite these supportive factors, the index remained under pressure owing to ongoing domestic political uncertainty and a sluggish economic outlook, ending the week down 1.21% week-on-week.

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,120/1,114 points and the resistance at 1,133/1,140 points.</li><li>The technical signal has shifted from an uptrend to a sideways trend within the 1,114-1,144 range, or possibly a downtrend (a break below 1,114 points would confirm a downtrend toward levels below 1,094 points).</li><li>External factors have turned negative again, reflecting concerns over global stagflation (negative for cyclical and tech sectors), after President Trump signaled the potential announcement of the adjusted reciprocal tariff against trading partners without negotiations within two weeks. </li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,120/1,114 points and the resistance at 1,133/1,140 points.The technical signal has shifted from an uptrend to a sideways trend within the 1,114-1,144 range, or possibly a downtrend (a break below 1,114 points would confirm a downtrend toward levels below 1,094 points).External factors have turned negative again, reflecting concerns over global stagflation (negative for cyclical and tech sectors), after President Trump signaled the potential announcement of the adjusted reciprocal tariff against trading partners without negotiations within two weeks. 

KTX Zoom: The US Preparing to Increase Tariff on Automobiles and Auto Parts - JUNE 13, 2025

<ul><li>Based on our analysis, if trade negotiations with the US proceed as Thailand hopes — enabling the import of corn and soybean meal from the US at lower costs for use as animal feed — and if there are no GMO-related barriers to Thai chicken exports, it is expected to benefit Thai livestock producers through improved margins from lower feed input costs and enhanced long-term competitiveness.</li><li>Our study indicates that CPF would benefit the most in absolute value, while mid-sized players like BTG and TFG are likely to see the most positive impact on the 2026E profit estimates.</li><li>GFPT would experience the largest increase in its gross profit margin (GPM) relative to its base case. </li></ul>

Based on our analysis, if trade negotiations with the US proceed as Thailand hopes — enabling the import of corn and soybean meal from the US at lower costs for use as animal feed — and if there are no GMO-related barriers to Thai chicken exports, it is expected to benefit Thai livestock producers through improved margins from lower feed input costs and enhanced long-term competitiveness.Our study indicates that CPF would benefit the most in absolute value, while mid-sized players like BTG and TFG are likely to see the most positive impact on the 2026E profit estimates.GFPT would experience the largest increase in its gross profit margin (GPM) relative to its base case. 

Industry Update - Will the Meat Sector Benefit from US Tariffs?

<ul><li>The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.</li><li>Combined with the impact of the MSCI rebalancing and the upcoming long holiday, this led the index to trade in negative territory throughout the day.</li><li>Selling pressure in large-cap stocks, particularly DELTA, ADVANC, and CPALL, pulled the index below the 1,150-point level, resulting in a weekly decline of 2.31%.</li></ul>

The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.Combined with the impact of the MSCI rebalancing and the upcoming long holiday, this led the index to trade in negative territory throughout the day.Selling pressure in large-cap stocks, particularly DELTA, ADVANC, and CPALL, pulled the index below the 1,150-point level, resulting in a weekly decline of 2.31%.

Thailand

Betagro is a leading integrated agro-industrial and food company in Thailand. Its core businesses include animal feed production, livestock farming, animal health products, and the production and distribution of meat, eggs, fish, and processed foods, including pet food. The company is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, and was founded in 1967.

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Betagro (BTG TB)

KTX Zoom: Risk-Off Sentiment Emerging Due to the Middle East War, Weighing on Risk Assets

The technical signals remain in a downtrend (last week showed potential for a rebound, but the index failed to break above 1,144 points).

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - JUNE 16, 2025

Despite these supportive factors, the index remained under pressure owing to ongoing domestic political uncertainty and a sluggish economic...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: The US Preparing to Increase Tariff on Automobiles and Auto Parts - JUNE 13, 2025

The SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,120/1,114 points and the resistance at 1,133/1,140 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Industry Update - Will the Meat Sector Benefit from US Tariffs?

We maintain a Neutral sector weighting and highlight TFG as the most attractive pick based on the valuation metrics (Outperform; FV = Bt5.95).

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - JUNE 4, 2025

The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.

Krungthai XSpring

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