Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 10 July, it was reported in the Hankyung Business Daily that Posco DX (022100 KS) could switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by the end of 2023.</li>
<li>One of the key reasons for the change in the listing venue from KOSDAQ to KOSPI is that POSCO Group believes this could lead to improved valuations for the company.</li>
<li>We believe the valuations of Posco DX have become too high. Therefore, we have a Negative View of Posco DX at current prices. </li>
</ul>


On 10 July, it was reported in the Hankyung Business Daily that Posco DX (022100 KS) could switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by the end of 2023.
One of the key reasons for the change in the listing venue from KOSDAQ to KOSPI is that POSCO Group believes this could lead to improved valuations for the company.
We believe the valuations of Posco DX have become too high. Therefore, we have a Negative View of Posco DX at current prices. 


POSCO DX Could Switch Its Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by End of 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a bunch of rebalances across different index families that were implemented at the close of trading on Friday.</li>
<li>The coming week is quieter though there are a couple of ad hoc rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> as the number of units outstanding is nearly the highest over the last couple of years.</li>
</ul>


There were a bunch of rebalances across different index families that were implemented at the close of trading on Friday.
The coming week is quieter though there are a couple of ad hoc rebalances for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) and KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
Yet another week of inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) as the number of units outstanding is nearly the highest over the last couple of years.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, STAR50, KOSDAQ150, CPSE/CNXBANK, Kenedix Merger

<ul>
<li>Following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bh-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3933:1" rel="noopener">Bh Co Ltd (090460 KS)</a> moving from the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Market, the stock will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> and replaced with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hfr-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38551:1" rel="noopener">HFR Inc (230240 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>The change will be implemented at the close on 19 June and passive trackers will need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks.</li>
<li>We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hfr-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38551:1" rel="noopener">HFR Inc (230240 KS)</a> as a potential replacement candidate and there could be pre-positions built up on the stock.</li>
</ul>


Following Bh Co Ltd (090460 KS) moving from the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Market, the stock will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index and replaced with HFR Inc (230240 KS).
The change will be implemented at the close on 19 June and passive trackers will need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks.
We had HFR Inc (230240 KS) as a potential replacement candidate and there could be pre-positions built up on the stock.


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: HFR (230240) To Replace BH (090460)

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.</li>
<li>Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.
Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bh-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3933:1" rel="noopener">BH Co Ltd (090460 KS)</a></strong> will likely complete the transfer listing by early May, suggesting an ad-hoc change may occur before the regular rebalancing of the KOSDAQ 150 in June.</li>
<li>BH's GICS sector is INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY. It means the top reserved issue at the previous review gets to replace BH. At this point, it will be <strong>HFR Inc (230240 KS)</strong>.</li>
<li>We should build up a Long position on HFR right after KRX approves BH's transfer and then close it on the next trading day after the KQ150 corporate action announcement.</li>
</ul>



BH Co Ltd (090460 KS) will likely complete the transfer listing by early May, suggesting an ad-hoc change may occur before the regular rebalancing of the KOSDAQ 150 in June.
BH's GICS sector is INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY. It means the top reserved issue at the previous review gets to replace BH. At this point, it will be HFR Inc (230240 KS).
We should build up a Long position on HFR right after KRX approves BH's transfer and then close it on the next trading day after the KQ150 corporate action announcement.


An Exposed Target for Flow Trading on KQ150 Ad-Hoc Change by BH's KOSPI Transfer Listing

South Korea

BH Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes various flexible printed circuits boards (FPCB), such as multi-layer and build-up FPCBs mainly for mobile phones and rigid FPCBs for aerospace sphere.

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Bh Co Ltd (090460 KS)

POSCO DX Could Switch Its Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by End of 2023

After Hankyung Business Daily reported that Posco DX could switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, Posco DX's share price jumped by 27.4% today....

Douglas Kim

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, STAR50, KOSDAQ150, CPSE/CNXBANK, Kenedix Merger

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: HFR (230240) To Replace BH (090460)

BH will migrate from KOSDAQ to KOSPI on 20 June. HFR will replace BH in the KQ150 at the close on 19 June. HFR could bounce on the back of the...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

There could be 8 changes at the regular rebalance plus a couple of ad hoc changes. The potential adds ran up a lot and have started to head lower....

Brian Freitas

An Exposed Target for Flow Trading on KQ150 Ad-Hoc Change by BH's KOSPI Transfer Listing

This post investigates the target of flow trading on KOSDAQ 150 ad-hoc change resulting from BH Co's transfer of listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI.

Sanghyun Park

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