External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market.</li><li>The company explained the financing challenge it currently faces during the analyst briefing and we believe the openness should help it gain more assistance.</li><li>Demand-side relaxation continued with BJ and SZ taking small moves while the practical impact might be limited. High-frequency data showed a strong WoW recovery in new home market at the month end while the YoY decline remained deep at -47%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market.The company explained the financing challenge it currently faces during the analyst briefing and we believe the openness should help it gain more assistance.Demand-side relaxation continued with BJ and SZ taking small moves while the practical impact might be limited. High-frequency data showed a strong WoW recovery in new home market at the month end while the YoY decline remained deep at -47%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Strong WoW recovery at Mar end, policy relaxation continued

<ul><li>Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with sound fundamentals experienced an uptick.</li><li>We interpret this as an indication that the market is gradually absorbing the information regarding the potential unforeseen impacts of the implementation of financing-side policies – the project whitelist.</li><li>We think the policy intention is to prevent adding new names to the defaulted list and avoid banks to withdraw project funding only based on risk at developers’ group level regardless of project quality, which caused more construction halting. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with sound fundamentals experienced an uptick.We interpret this as an indication that the market is gradually absorbing the information regarding the potential unforeseen impacts of the implementation of financing-side policies – the project whitelist.We think the policy intention is to prevent adding new names to the defaulted list and avoid banks to withdraw project funding only based on risk at developers’ group level regardless of project quality, which caused more construction halting. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property – Which Projects in Whitelist Are More Likely to Obtain Incremental Loans?

<ul><li>The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.</li><li>Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.</li><li>Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

<ul><li>NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.</li><li>Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.</li><li>We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

<ul><li>If there is one phrase to summarize PM sector’s 2022, that is “never give up”.</li><li>Facing an unprecedented COVID and property market, not only SOEs utilized their dominate resources to deliver better-than-expected results (Poly, CR Mixc, COPH), but also POEs increased dividend and fought hard in third party expansion. (CGS, Sunac Service, New Hope Service). I</li><li>In this sector report, we initiate Binjiang service as Top pick on management’s good track record, 30% growth profile, stable parentco (63% sales YoY growth in 1Q23) and attractive valuation (11/9x 2023/24E PE).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

If there is one phrase to summarize PM sector’s 2022, that is “never give up”.Facing an unprecedented COVID and property market, not only SOEs utilized their dominate resources to deliver better-than-expected results (Poly, CR Mixc, COPH), but also POEs increased dividend and fought hard in third party expansion. (CGS, Sunac Service, New Hope Service). IIn this sector report, we initiate Binjiang service as Top pick on management’s good track record, 30% growth profile, stable parentco (63% sales YoY growth in 1Q23) and attractive valuation (11/9x 2023/24E PE).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – FY22 review: if and only if Binjiang Service

China

Binjiang Service Group Co. Ltd. provides comprehensive property management and related services across the People's Republic of China. Its core services include security, cleaning, gardening, repair, and maintenance for residential and non-residential properties, alongside value-added services for both property owners and non-property owners. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK)

Property - Weekly highlight: Strong WoW recovery at Mar end, policy relaxation continued

Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market. The company explained the financing challenge it...

CMB International

China Property – Which Projects in Whitelist Are More Likely to Obtain Incremental Loans?

Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a...

CMB International

China Property Sector – FY22 review: if and only if Binjiang Service

In this sector report, we initiate Binjiang service as Top pick on management’s good track record, 30% growth profile, stable parentco (63% sales...

CMB International

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