Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/times-neighborhood-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28666:1" rel="noopener">Times Neighborhood (9928 HK)</a> has been a disastrous call since we first highlighted it. In this insight, we reflect upon the red flags we could have done well to spot. </li>
<li>We cover red flags ranging from the level of precise guidance, pivot in strategy, and the parent's poor financial health, to the effect on receivables sucking cash from the company. </li>
<li>Everyone makes mistakes (we are human, after all). We would like to share our experience to educate readers to become better investors and sidestep investments in such names.  </li>
</ul>



Times Neighborhood (9928 HK) has been a disastrous call since we first highlighted it. In this insight, we reflect upon the red flags we could have done well to spot. 
We cover red flags ranging from the level of precise guidance, pivot in strategy, and the parent's poor financial health, to the effect on receivables sucking cash from the company. 
Everyone makes mistakes (we are human, after all). We would like to share our experience to educate readers to become better investors and sidestep investments in such names.  


Takeaways from the Times Neighborhood Investment Debacle

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK) is getting ready to complete an IPO in Hong Kong in the coming weeks, seeking to raise nearly US$2 billion in this IPO.</li>
<li>Our initial valuation analysis suggests 19.2 billion RMB (US$2.7 billion) in market cap for Onewo. As such, it may be difficult for the company to raise US$2 billion in IPO. </li>
<li>Country Garden Services has higher sales growth, net profit growth, and net margins than Onewo. However, Onewo has higher ROE than Country Garden Services.</li>
</ul>


Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK) is getting ready to complete an IPO in Hong Kong in the coming weeks, seeking to raise nearly US$2 billion in this IPO.
Our initial valuation analysis suggests 19.2 billion RMB (US$2.7 billion) in market cap for Onewo. As such, it may be difficult for the company to raise US$2 billion in IPO. 
Country Garden Services has higher sales growth, net profit growth, and net margins than Onewo. However, Onewo has higher ROE than Country Garden Services.


Binjiang Service Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/binjiang-service-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28940:1" rel="noopener">Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK)</a> presents a unique opportunity for investment in the property management space trading at 11.6x/9.4x FY22/23 PE, with a dividend yield of 5.2% FY22e (60% payout).</li>
<li>The company has &gt;35% of its market capitalization in cash, and the parent so far has been a relatively safer investment option compared to the rest in the property space.</li>
<li>If the company is willing to continue paying &gt;60%, we believe it can rerate to multiples comparable with SOEs of 16-20x PE.</li>
</ul>



Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK) presents a unique opportunity for investment in the property management space trading at 11.6x/9.4x FY22/23 PE, with a dividend yield of 5.2% FY22e (60% payout).
The company has &gt;35% of its market capitalization in cash, and the parent so far has been a relatively safer investment option compared to the rest in the property space.
If the company is willing to continue paying &gt;60%, we believe it can rerate to multiples comparable with SOEs of 16-20x PE.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/binjiang-service-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28940:1" rel="noopener">Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK)</a> is turning out to be one of the most resilient private PMC in terms of margins and profitability with the conservative approach of the management.</li>
<li>Trading at 12x/9.4x FY22e/FY23e with 25% of the market capitalization in cash, potential investors have the best of both worlds in value and growth.</li>
<li>The company will continue to pay 60% of its earnings as dividends, resulting in a 5.2%/7.5% dividend yield for FY22e/FY23e. We believe the stock has the potential to re-rate.</li>
</ul>



Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK) is turning out to be one of the most resilient private PMC in terms of margins and profitability with the conservative approach of the management.
Trading at 12x/9.4x FY22e/FY23e with 25% of the market capitalization in cash, potential investors have the best of both worlds in value and growth.
The company will continue to pay 60% of its earnings as dividends, resulting in a 5.2%/7.5% dividend yield for FY22e/FY23e. We believe the stock has the potential to re-rate.


Binjiang 3316 HK: Most Resilient Private PMC with Good Upside Potential

China

Binjiang Service Group Co. Ltd. provides comprehensive property management and related services across the People's Republic of China. Its core services include security, cleaning, gardening, repair, and maintenance for residential and non-residential properties, alongside value-added services for both property owners and non-property owners. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

Takeaways from the Times Neighborhood Investment Debacle

We summarise our learnings /mistakes from the Times Neighborhood investment debacle. This piece covers aspects of financial analysis critical to...

Sameer Taneja

Onewo Space-Tech IPO Preview

Our initial valuation analysis suggests 19.2 billion RMB (US$2.7 billion) in market cap for Onewo. As such, it may be difficult for the company to...

Douglas Kim

Binjiang H1 2022: Management Soundbites

Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK) presents a unique opportunity for investment in the property management space trading at 11.6x/9.4x FY22/23 PE,...

Sameer Taneja

Binjiang 3316 HK: Most Resilient Private PMC with Good Upside Potential

Trading at 12x/9.4x FY22e/FY23e with 25% of the market capitalization in cash, potential investors have the best of both worlds in value and growth...

Sameer Taneja

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