IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Vast Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After a prolonged delay, the Cayman Islands legislative gazette <a href="https://legislation.gov.ky/cms/images/LEGISLATION/AMENDING/2022/2022-0028/CompaniesAmendmentAct2021CommencementOrder2022SL28of2022.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">was published on 29 July</a>, which stated that the amended Cayman Islands Act would come into force on 31 August. </li>
<li>The Act will remove the headcount test for schemes, eliminating a layer of uncertainty for controlling shareholders wishing to privatise listed Cayman-incorporated companies.</li>
<li>In light of this development, we look at current active privatisations, past failed privatisations and rumoured transactions which stand to gain a new lease of life from this Act.</li>
</ul>


After a prolonged delay, the Cayman Islands legislative gazette was published on 29 July, which stated that the amended Cayman Islands Act would come into force on 31 August. 
The Act will remove the headcount test for schemes, eliminating a layer of uncertainty for controlling shareholders wishing to privatise listed Cayman-incorporated companies.
In light of this development, we look at current active privatisations, past failed privatisations and rumoured transactions which stand to gain a new lease of life from this Act.


The Cayman Islands to Remove the Headcount Test on 31 August

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.</li>
<li>The silver lining? New ESG-<em>related</em> investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.</li>
<li>One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.</li>
</ul>


Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.
The silver lining? New ESG-related investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.
One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.


Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

Coast Entertainment Holdings L / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ardent-leisure-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29059:1" rel="noopener">Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU)</a>'s shareholders have approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dave-buster-s-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19774:1" rel="noopener">Dave &amp; Buster'S Entertainment, Inc (PLAY US)</a> acquisition of Main Event business. Ardent will receive A$670.3 million.</li>
<li>Shareholders will receive a total return of A$0.95 through capital return (A$0.46) and unfranked special dividends (A$0.49) on 13 July. </li>
<li>Precedent transactions and peer multiples suggest that the remaining business is worth A$0.23-0.30, implying a 16%-21% upside to the last close. The remaining business would be attractive to private equity. </li>
</ul>



Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU)'s shareholders have approved Dave &amp; Buster'S Entertainment, Inc (PLAY US) acquisition of Main Event business. Ardent will receive A$670.3 million.
Shareholders will receive a total return of A$0.95 through capital return (A$0.46) and unfranked special dividends (A$0.49) on 13 July. 
Precedent transactions and peer multiples suggest that the remaining business is worth A$0.23-0.30, implying a 16%-21% upside to the last close. The remaining business would be attractive to private equity. 


Ardent Leisure’s EGM Approves the Main Event Sale

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> is premarketing a US$1bn SET listing and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gogox-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35556:1" rel="noopener">GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK)</a> has won approval for a US$100-150m HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suchuang-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:304:1" rel="noopener">Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, Ramsay, Crown.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) is premarketing a US$1bn SET listing and GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK) has won approval for a US$100-150m HKEx IPO.
On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK), Link Net (LINK IJ), Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Ramsay, Crown.


Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jun): Thai Life, Link Admin, Ramsay, Link Net, China VAST, Suchuang Gas

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Metropolis Healthcare Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Several press reports regarding potential takeover speculations related to Indian diagnostics company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metropolis-healthcare-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27829:1" rel="noopener">Metropolis Healthcare Limited (METROHL IN)</a> have emerged in the Indian press over the last few days.</li>
<li>Metropolis Healthcare Limited currently has a total market capitalization of US$1bn.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of the situation.</li>
</ul>


Several press reports regarding potential takeover speculations related to Indian diagnostics company Metropolis Healthcare Limited (METROHL IN) have emerged in the Indian press over the last few days.
Metropolis Healthcare Limited currently has a total market capitalization of US$1bn.
Below is a closer look at the details of the situation.


Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal

United States

Blackstone Inc. operates as an investment company. The Company focuses on real estate, hedge funds, private equity, leveraged lending, senior debts, and rescue financing. Blackstone serves customers worldwide.

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Blackstone (BX US)

The Cayman Islands to Remove the Headcount Test on 31 August

We expect the removal of the headcount test to stir up activity in privatisations of HKEx-listed Cayman-incorporated companies, especially in light...

Arun George

Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

ESG investing has been complicated by evolving emissions reporting regulations. With the chaos, comes new investment opportunities. Such as in...

Kyle Rudden

Ardent Leisure’s EGM Approves the Main Event Sale

Shareholders have approved the sale of Main Event. Precedent transactions and peer multiples suggest that the remaining business is worth A$0.23...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jun): Thai Life, Link Admin, Ramsay, Link Net, China VAST, Suchuang Gas

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (China VAST, Link Net, Suchuang Gas, Yancoal, Link, Atlas Arteria, Ramsay, Crown, True...

Arun George

Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal

Metropolis Healthcare has been widely discussed as a potential M&A target and multiple potential suitors seem to be interested. This could act as a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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