Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.
We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Imeik Technology Development C / Equity Bottom-Up

Imeik Technology Development C (300896 CH)

<ul>
<li>Imeik keeps its outstanding financial performance in 2021/2022Q1. On the surface, it looks prosperous, but its development strategy, product layout and resilience in front of risks would bring many uncertainties.</li>
<li>Considering the pandemic/lockdown and a slowing economy in China, the revenue growth in 2022 could fall to about 50%, then to about 40% and 30% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.</li>
<li>Imeik’s valuation is “unreasonably high”, which is expected to be lower than Bloomage in the future. Anything that deviates from fundamentals would inevitably return to the origin. </li>
</ul>


Imeik keeps its outstanding financial performance in 2021/2022Q1. On the surface, it looks prosperous, but its development strategy, product layout and resilience in front of risks would bring many uncertainties.
Considering the pandemic/lockdown and a slowing economy in China, the revenue growth in 2022 could fall to about 50%, then to about 40% and 30% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.
Imeik’s valuation is “unreasonably high”, which is expected to be lower than Bloomage in the future. Anything that deviates from fundamentals would inevitably return to the origin. 


Imeik Technology Development (300896.CH) - Superficial Prosperity Hardly Masks Underlying Risks

Bloomage Biotechnology  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Botanee has outstanding performance at the current stage, but WINONA alone is not enough to establish a high moat. Its weak R&amp;D/innovation in raw materials/products would cast doubts on outlook.</li>
<li>Bloomage is more R&amp;D oriented and characterized by integration of industrial chain. Its advanced synthetic biology will bring more possibilities for future development.The collagen would be a new growth point.</li>
<li>Although with lower net profit margin, Bloomage is expected to have better outlook than Botanee. So, we think Bloomage could have higher valuation than Botanee in the future.  </li>
</ul>


Botanee has outstanding performance at the current stage, but WINONA alone is not enough to establish a high moat. Its weak R&amp;D/innovation in raw materials/products would cast doubts on outlook.
Bloomage is more R&amp;D oriented and characterized by integration of industrial chain. Its advanced synthetic biology will bring more possibilities for future development.The collagen would be a new growth point.
Although with lower net profit margin, Bloomage is expected to have better outlook than Botanee. So, we think Bloomage could have higher valuation than Botanee in the future.  


Bloomage Biotechnology Vs Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology - Accumulate Richly and Break Forth Vastly

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec / Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

<ul>
<li>Haohai's development is fuelled by a series of acquisitions, which help Haohai establish the existing diversified businesses, but we haven’t seen any growth point with high certainty.</li>
<li>Compared with Bloomage and Imeik, Haohai has no competitive advantage in the field of medical aesthetics. It’s also difficult for Haohai to make a substantial breakthrough without obvious product advantages.</li>
<li>Although Haohai’s PE/TTM is significantly lower than its peers, due to centralized procurement, Haohai’s valuation could be further lower. Considering the risks, we choose to stay cautious on Haohai.</li>
</ul>


Haohai's development is fuelled by a series of acquisitions, which help Haohai establish the existing diversified businesses, but we haven’t seen any growth point with high certainty.
Compared with Bloomage and Imeik, Haohai has no competitive advantage in the field of medical aesthetics. It’s also difficult for Haohai to make a substantial breakthrough without obvious product advantages.
Although Haohai’s PE/TTM is significantly lower than its peers, due to centralized procurement, Haohai’s valuation could be further lower. Considering the risks, we choose to stay cautious on Haohai.


Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366CH)- Diversified Business Layout Doesn't Secure Outlook

<ul>
<li>The reason why Sihuan has received more attention from the market mainly lies in the medical aesthetics segment. However, both hyaluronic acid and botulinum toxin are facing challenges.</li>
<li>Recently, China Resources is rumored to be in talks to privatize <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a>, but Sihuan denied it.</li>
<li>Sihuan is undervalued. The reasonable market value should be over RMB20 billion. We recommend investors to follow closely with Sihuan, either for decent upside potential or privatization possibility.</li>
</ul>


The reason why Sihuan has received more attention from the market mainly lies in the medical aesthetics segment. However, both hyaluronic acid and botulinum toxin are facing challenges.
Recently, China Resources is rumored to be in talks to privatize Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK), but Sihuan denied it.
Sihuan is undervalued. The reasonable market value should be over RMB20 billion. We recommend investors to follow closely with Sihuan, either for decent upside potential or privatization possibility.


Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460.HK)- Privatization Rumor, Upside Potential and Concerns on Business

China

Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation Limited develops and manufactures medical products. The Company produces fillers, mesotherapy products, bio reactive hyaluronic acids, repair soothing skin care products, and other products. Bloomage Biotechnology supplies its products in medicine, cosmetics, food manufacturing companies, medical institutions, and other fields.

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Bloomage Biotechnology Lt (688363 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

We estimate $11bn inflow into A-share market through northbound in June and highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Imeik Technology Development (300896.CH) - Superficial Prosperity Hardly Masks Underlying Risks

Imeik’s valuation is unreasonably high. The risks related to development strategy, product layout, R&D, etc. will bring many uncertainties.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Bloomage Biotechnology Vs Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology - Accumulate Richly and Break Forth Vastly

Botanee takes the lead in performance due to WINONA, but Bloomage's strong R&D/industrial chain integration/collagen/synthetic biology indicate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366CH)- Diversified Business Layout Doesn't Secure Outlook

Haohai builds diversified business via M&A,but none is growth point with high certainty. Its medical aesthetics has no obvious advantage and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460.HK)- Privatization Rumor, Upside Potential and Concerns on Business

Sihuan receives attention due to medical aesthetics but it's facing challenges,especially after CBC acquired Hugel.But Sihuan is undervalued, with...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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