Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> has announced that the public float of the stock will drop to 2.78% following the Tender Offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> shares are expected to be suspended from 26 September. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a> on 25 September.</li>
<li>There will be large passive inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> as well as flows from active managers that track the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a>.</li>
</ul>



Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) has announced that the public float of the stock will drop to 2.78% following the Tender Offer.

Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) shares are expected to be suspended from 26 September. That could see Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) added to the PCOMP INDEX on 25 September.
There will be large passive inflows to Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) as well as flows from active managers that track the PCOMP INDEX.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

<ul>
<li>Based on data to the close on 27 April, we do not expect any changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> at the August rebalance.</li>
<li>However, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> tender offer and voluntary delisting will open up an index spot that will need to be filled.</li>
<li>At the current time, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> is the highest ranked non-index constituent and is the most likely replacement.</li>
</ul>


Based on data to the close on 27 April, we do not expect any changes to the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) at the August rebalance.
However, the Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) tender offer and voluntary delisting will open up an index spot that will need to be filled.
At the current time, Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) is the highest ranked non-index constituent and is the most likely replacement.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Tender Offer Opens Up an Index Spot

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last August 13th we urged investors to take a hard look at the spurt in the Philippine gaming market as soon as covid related shutdowns ended. Bloomberry traded at 7.1php.</li>
<li>We reiterated our bullish view this past November 13th at 9.7php.</li>
<li>Price at writing has fallen back to 7.50 indicates that conviction in the Philippine gaming recovery has not yet been recognized by investors in the space.</li>
</ul>


Last August 13th we urged investors to take a hard look at the spurt in the Philippine gaming market as soon as covid related shutdowns ended. Bloomberry traded at 7.1php.
We reiterated our bullish view this past November 13th at 9.7php.
Price at writing has fallen back to 7.50 indicates that conviction in the Philippine gaming recovery has not yet been recognized by investors in the space.


Bloomberry Resorts: Flagging the Philippine Casino Market's Fastest Recovery in All of Asia

<ul>
<li>From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> increases from 15% to 20%.</li>
<li>This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.</li>
<li>The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) increases from 15% to 20%.
This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.
The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

<ul>
<li>A combination of strong property values, sound balance sheet and expansion to second Philippine property will produce strong result in sequential quarters ahead.</li>
<li>Macro factors in market blur expectations for investor interest at this point in other major players in the Entertainment Zone space.</li>
<li>Regulators predict Philippine GGR wil reach US$10b by 2027, making it among the globe's most attractive gaming investment targets.</li>
</ul>


A combination of strong property values, sound balance sheet and expansion to second Philippine property will produce strong result in sequential quarters ahead.
Macro factors in market blur expectations for investor interest at this point in other major players in the Entertainment Zone space.
Regulators predict Philippine GGR wil reach US$10b by 2027, making it among the globe's most attractive gaming investment targets.


Bloomberry Is Best Pure Play on Philippine Gaming Growth Cycle

Philippines

Bloomberry Resorts Corp is a holding company for its subsidiaries which provide lodging and leisure services. The Subsidiaries operates and develops, tourist facilities, casinos, and hotel and amusement-themed projects.

Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

Following the tender offer, MPI's public float will drop to 2.78% and the last trading day is expected to be 26 Sep. Bloomberry Resorts could be...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Tender Offer Opens Up an Index Spot

The MPI tender offer and voluntary delisting could see Bloomberry Resorts added to the PCOMP. Passive trackers will need to buy a lot of stock and...

Brian Freitas

Bloomberry Resorts: Flagging the Philippine Casino Market's Fastest Recovery in All of Asia

Bloomberry's Solaire property and its two new ones imminently to come reflect a vitality of recovery in the Philippine gaming market speedier than...

Howard J Klein

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

A methodology change that increases the minimum free float from 15% to 20% could result in 3 changes to the index. The three constituents will need...

Brian Freitas

Bloomberry Is Best Pure Play on Philippine Gaming Growth Cycle

With its rapidly increasing post covid revenue and growth prospects we beleive the shares at their current price are undervalued, even having...

Howard J Klein