Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high time the Indian Railways did a re-evaluation of its strategy to keep rail freight a going concern. In this report we will look into reasons for the slump in freight traffic and how it can be rejuvenated to continue as the highest revenue grossing segment of the Indian Railways.

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high time the Indian Railways did a re-evaluation of its strategy to keep rail freight a going concern. In this report we will look into reasons for the slump in freight traffic and how it can be rejuvenated to continue as the highest revenue grossing segment of the Indian Railways.

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

With the urban population set to double to 814 million by 2050, India faces numerous challenges in providing housing to the masses. The Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) was introduced by the Modi government to allay these issues by providing urban housing for all by 2022. While we dig deeper into the scheme we will also analyse some of the industries within that will gain from this program.

With the urban population set to double to 814 million by 2050, India faces numerous challenges in providing housing to the masses. The Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) was introduced by the Modi government to allay these issues by providing urban housing for all by 2022. While we dig deeper into the scheme we will also analyse some of the industries within that will gain from this program.

Housing for All Scheme: Growth Story for Cement and Prefab Manufacturers?

India

Blue Dart Express Limited operates a courier service and an integrated express package distribution company.  The Company offers delivery of packages and documents in India and throughout the world.

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Blue Dart Express (BDE IN)

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high...

Speeda Research

Housing for All Scheme: Growth Story for Cement and Prefab Manufacturers?

With the urban population set to double to 814 million by 2050, India faces numerous challenges in providing housing to the masses. The Pradhan...

Speeda Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The...

Speeda Research

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high...

Speeda Research

Housing for All Scheme: Growth Story for Cement and Prefab Manufacturers?

With the urban population set to double to 814 million by 2050, India faces numerous challenges in providing housing to the masses. The Pradhan...

Speeda Research