Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in March 2025. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes before then.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in March 2025. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes before then.


[Quiddity Index Jan25] S&P500/600 Mar25 Rebal: Multiple Intra-Review Changes Possible

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coinbase-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32227:1" rel="noopener">Coinbase Global (COIN US)</a> can be the unexpected addition by transition because of a high liquidity score and a close distance below the estimated transition threshold.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lennox-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16420:1" rel="noopener">Lennox International (LII US)</a> is the main candidate for addition by migration due to having the highest average mcap score and passing eligibility metrics.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/illumina-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8015:1" rel="noopener">Illumina Inc (ILMN US)</a> has a muted conviction for addition because of ineligible earnings and a recent deletion from the index.</li>
</ul>



Coinbase Global (COIN US) can be the unexpected addition by transition because of a high liquidity score and a close distance below the estimated transition threshold.

Lennox International (LII US) is the main candidate for addition by migration due to having the highest average mcap score and passing eligibility metrics.

Illumina Inc (ILMN US) has a muted conviction for addition because of ineligible earnings and a recent deletion from the index.


S&P500 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Flipping the COIN

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-global-management-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28770:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Global Management (APO US)</a> are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land (TPL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcor-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20703:1" rel="noopener">Emcor Group (EME US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lennox-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16420:1" rel="noopener">Lennox International (LII US)</a> are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. </li>
</ul>



AppLovin (APP US) and Apollo Global Management (APO US) are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  

Texas Pacific Land (TPL US) is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. 

Emcor Group (EME US) and Lennox International (LII US) are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. 


S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BorgWarner's third-quarter results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance, characterized by resilience in a challenging market environment, strategic advancements in both its foundational and electric product lines, and robust cost management measures.</li><li>The company reported third-quarter organic sales exceeding $3.4 billion, a 5% year-over-year decrease, though slightly outperforming the market decline of 6%.</li><li>This slight outperformance underscores the effectiveness of BorgWarner's diversified, technology-focused portfolio which continues to secure business even in a down market.</li></ul>

BorgWarner's third-quarter results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance, characterized by resilience in a challenging market environment, strategic advancements in both its foundational and electric product lines, and robust cost management measures.The company reported third-quarter organic sales exceeding $3.4 billion, a 5% year-over-year decrease, though slightly outperforming the market decline of 6%.This slight outperformance underscores the effectiveness of BorgWarner's diversified, technology-focused portfolio which continues to secure business even in a down market.

The Power of Propulsion: How BorgWarner Is Leading the Electric Vehicle Revolution! - Major Drivers

Apollo Global Management  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in the late-2024/early-2025.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in the late-2024/early-2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal: APO, CRH, WDAY, TPL

United States

BorgWarner, Inc. supplies engineered systems and components, primarily for automotive powertrain applications. The Company's products are manufactured and sold worldwide, primarily to original equipment manufacturers of passenger cars, sport utility vehicles, and light trucks. BorgWarner operates manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia.

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Borgwarner Inc (BWA US)

[Quiddity Index Jan25] S&P500/600 Mar25 Rebal: Multiple Intra-Review Changes Possible

Q1 has a bunch of deals nearing completion. We could see a couple of intra-review changes before the announcement of the March rebal. I expect we...

Travis Lundy

S&P500 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Flipping the COIN

Lennox International (LII US) - the top migration candidate - was announced as an addition to the S&P 500 on 18 December, soon after the quarterly...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) - the top migration candidate - has been announced as an addition to S&P500 prior to the quarterly review as it is...

Dimitris Ioannidis

The Power of Propulsion: How BorgWarner Is Leading the Electric Vehicle Revolution! - Major Drivers

BorgWarner's third-quarter results for 2024 reveal a mixed performance, characterized by resilience in a challenging market environment, strategic...

Baptista Research

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal: APO, CRH, WDAY, TPL

The S&P500 rebalance in December is shaping up to be a trade worth $8-13bn a side but there is a possible intra-review change to come as well....

Travis Lundy

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