Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to get support from seasonal pick-up in requirements that coincides with round of plant maintenance work.</li><li>Mostly-steady outright base oils prices so far this year contrast with higher prices in other markets.</li><li>Steady export base oils values vs VGO so far this year contrast with slump, then surge in base oils values from H2 March 2024.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to get support from seasonal pick-up in requirements that coincides with round of plant maintenance work.Mostly-steady outright base oils prices so far this year contrast with higher prices in other markets.Steady export base oils values vs VGO so far this year contrast with slump, then surge in base oils values from H2 March 2024.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 14/Mar, U.S. crude inventories rose 1.7m barrels (vs. expectations of 0.8m build), gasoline stockpiles fell below expectations, and distillate inventories declined more than anticipated.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose by 9 Bcf for the week ending 14/Mar, more than analyst expectations of a 3 Bcf build. Inventories are 10% below the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Barclays cut Exxon's price target to USD 135 from USD 137 with an Overweight rating, while Citigroup lowered Occidental's target to USD 51 from USD 56 with a Neutral rating.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 14/Mar, U.S. crude inventories rose 1.7m barrels (vs. expectations of 0.8m build), gasoline stockpiles fell below expectations, and distillate inventories declined more than anticipated.
US natural gas inventories rose by 9 Bcf for the week ending 14/Mar, more than analyst expectations of a 3 Bcf build. Inventories are 10% below the 5-year seasonal average.
Barclays cut Exxon's price target to USD 135 from USD 137 with an Overweight rating, while Citigroup lowered Occidental's target to USD 51 from USD 56 with a Neutral rating.


[ETP 2025/12] WTI Gains on Geopolitical Uncertainty, Henry Hub Falls on Rising Nat-Gas Stockpiles

<ul><li>Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil, magnifying impact of rising base oils premium.</li><li>Rising base oils premium points to firm supply-demand fundamentals, especially in Europe and Asia.</li></ul>

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil, magnifying impact of rising base oils premium.Rising base oils premium points to firm supply-demand fundamentals, especially in Europe and Asia.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

<ul><li>US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.</li><li>US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong rise in Asia Group II base oils export price premium to Singapore gasoil prices so far this year.</li><li>US Group I brightstock price rises vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong rise in Asia Group II base oils export price premium to Singapore gasoil prices so far this year.US Group I brightstock price rises vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices extend rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Increasingly firm margins coincide with closed arbitrage to more distant outlets like Americas, and less feasible arbitrage to logistically-closer markets like India and Middle East.</li><li>Firm margins and closed arbitrage point to tight supply.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices extend rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices.Increasingly firm margins coincide with closed arbitrage to more distant outlets like Americas, and less feasible arbitrage to logistically-closer markets like India and Middle East.Firm margins and closed arbitrage point to tight supply.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 17 March

United Kingdom

BP P.L.C is an energy company. The Company explores and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, as well as generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals such as terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene, and polyethylene. BP serves customers worldwide.

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BP (BP US)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

US base oils demand likely to get support from seasonal pick-up in requirements that coincides with round of plant maintenance work. Mostly-steady...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/12] WTI Gains on Geopolitical Uncertainty, Henry Hub Falls on Rising Nat-Gas Stockpiles

US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles fell short, and natural gas inventories exceeded analyst predictions. Barclays...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil,...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year. US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 17 March

Asia’s base oils prices extend rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices. Increasingly firm margins coincide with closed arbitrage to more...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

US base oils demand likely to get support from seasonal pick-up in requirements that coincides with round of plant maintenance work. Mostly-steady...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/12] WTI Gains on Geopolitical Uncertainty, Henry Hub Falls on Rising Nat-Gas Stockpiles

​US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles fell short, and natural gas inventories exceeded analyst predictions. Barclays...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil,...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year. US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 17 March

Asia’s base oils prices extend rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices. Increasingly firm margins coincide with closed arbitrage to more...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles fell short, and natural gas inventories exceeded analyst predictions. Barclays...