External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India’s GDP is expected to double from its current level of USD 3.57trn (in FY24E) to USD 7trn in 2030</li><li>This will be a result of inherent demographic advantages along with consistent policy support</li><li>We observe that there are decadal economic trends underway in the country, which are fueling the business growth of companies in various sectors</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s GDP is expected to double from its current level of USD 3.57trn (in FY24E) to USD 7trn in 2030This will be a result of inherent demographic advantages along with consistent policy supportWe observe that there are decadal economic trends underway in the country, which are fueling the business growth of companies in various sectorsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Long Term Compounders: Decadal Economic Trends Present Opportunities

<ul><li>Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the highest in the last 20 quarters)</li><li>Domestic revenue grew by 9% YoY (HSIE 12%) on the back of pricing and mix growth (around low to mid-single-digit volume growth)</li><li>Coffee prices remain volatile while healthy milk flush in winter is expected to keep milk prices stable</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the highest in the last 20 quarters)Domestic revenue grew by 9% YoY (HSIE 12%) on the back of pricing and mix growth (around low to mid-single-digit volume growth)Coffee prices remain volatile while healthy milk flush in winter is expected to keep milk prices stableContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Nestle India, Trent, Britannia Industries, Endurance Technologies

<ul><li>Whatever is being launched is being sold, presales momentum remains strong: Real estate developers are reporting record presales in the seasonally weakest quarter Q2, Sobha (INR 17bn, growth of 48/18% YoY/QoQ), Prestige (INR 71bn, growth of 102/82% YoY/QoQ), Macrotech (INR 35bn, growth of 12/5% YoY/QoQ) and PHNX (consumption of INR 26.4bn, growth of 9/0% YoY/QoQ on a like-to-like basis)</li><li>We expect this momentum to continue in 3QFY24 with new launches adding a multiplier effect to the presales</li><li>Within micro-markets, we expect the consolidation story to continue in the top six cities with strong volume-driven growth in Bengaluru, MMR and Pune, while NCR growth will be driven largely by higher price appreciation in the luxury segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Whatever is being launched is being sold, presales momentum remains strong: Real estate developers are reporting record presales in the seasonally weakest quarter Q2, Sobha (INR 17bn, growth of 48/18% YoY/QoQ), Prestige (INR 71bn, growth of 102/82% YoY/QoQ), Macrotech (INR 35bn, growth of 12/5% YoY/QoQ) and PHNX (consumption of INR 26.4bn, growth of 9/0% YoY/QoQ on a like-to-like basis)We expect this momentum to continue in 3QFY24 with new launches adding a multiplier effect to the presalesWithin micro-markets, we expect the consolidation story to continue in the top six cities with strong volume-driven growth in Bengaluru, MMR and Pune, while NCR growth will be driven largely by higher price appreciation in the luxury segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Festive cheer awaited

<ul><li>Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas subsidiaries</li><li>Performance beat was largely driven by better-than-expected revenue growth at the standalone entity and break-even at the Europe subsidiary</li><li>We continue to highlight that BHFC has multiple growth levers to offset any potential slowdown from US Class8 which include: (1) defence orders that are likely to see this segment’s revenue ramp-up to INR 17bn by FY25E, from INR 3.5bn in FY23, (2) strong growth expected in PV and industrial exports, (3) huge ramp-up potential at JS-Auto Cast, given its capacity is expected to increase by 2x and there is a huge demand for castings, both in India and abroad, (4) strong order backlog in aerospace, which would help boost revenue to INR 5bn over next the four years, from INR 1.7bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas subsidiariesPerformance beat was largely driven by better-than-expected revenue growth at the standalone entity and break-even at the Europe subsidiaryWe continue to highlight that BHFC has multiple growth levers to offset any potential slowdown from US Class8 which include: (1) defence orders that are likely to see this segment’s revenue ramp-up to INR 17bn by FY25E, from INR 3.5bn in FY23, (2) strong growth expected in PV and industrial exports, (3) huge ramp-up potential at JS-Auto Cast, given its capacity is expected to increase by 2x and there is a huge demand for castings, both in India and abroad, (4) strong order backlog in aerospace, which would help boost revenue to INR 5bn over next the four years, from INR 1.7bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Phoenix Mills, Oil India, Prestige Estates

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Equity Bottom-Up

Kolte Patil Developers / Equity Bottom-Up

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Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolte-patil-developers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6819:1" rel="noopener">Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN)</a>, a branded developer based out of Pune.
<div id="annotable-executive_summary-1">For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-fat-theme-organized-real-estate-developers-in-india-a-decadal-opportunity" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56658" rel="noopener">A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity</a>.</div>
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Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN), a branded developer based out of Pune.
For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity.


Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

India

Brigade Enterprises Limited operates as a real estate development company. The Company focuses on the development of residential, commercial, and hospitality properties.

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Brigade Enterprises (BRGD IN)

Long Term Compounders: Decadal Economic Trends Present Opportunities

India’s GDP is expected to double from its current level of USD 3.57trn (in FY24E) to USD 7trn in 2030. This will be a result of inherent...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Nestle India, Trent, Britannia Industries, Endurance Technologies

Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Festive cheer awaited

Whatever is being launched is being sold, presales momentum remains strong: Real estate developers are reporting record presales in the seasonally...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Phoenix Mills, Oil India, Prestige Estates

Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas...

HDFC Securities

Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

Business development activity, pace of execution and new launches are at all time high, leading to all-time high sales velocity. The stock has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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