Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. </p><p>In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the <strong>Lifesciences</strong> space namely <strong>PEPTIDES</strong>.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.</p><p>We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years </p><p>Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a <strong>Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX)</strong> and <strong>US-based Coherus (CHRS)</strong></p>

In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the Lifesciences space namely PEPTIDES.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX) and US-based Coherus (CHRS)

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Bristol Myers Squibb Co / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Bristol-Myers Squibb had another strong quarter with a particularly strong performance of its oncology drugs, Revlimid and Opdivo.</li><li>After the Celgene acquisition, the pharmaceutical major’s largest chunk of revenues comes from these 2 cancer treatments and the blood thinning drug, Eliquis, which might gain excellent momentum in the coming quarters given the increasing application of blood thinners in Covid-19 treatments.</li><li>The management saw a recovery in its star immuno-oncology drug, Opdivo which saw a 165 jump in revenues on account of label expansion to the domain of lung cancer.</li></ul>

Bristol-Myers Squibb had another strong quarter with a particularly strong performance of its oncology drugs, Revlimid and Opdivo.After the Celgene acquisition, the pharmaceutical major’s largest chunk of revenues comes from these 2 cancer treatments and the blood thinning drug, Eliquis, which might gain excellent momentum in the coming quarters given the increasing application of blood thinners in Covid-19 treatments.The management saw a recovery in its star immuno-oncology drug, Opdivo which saw a 165 jump in revenues on account of label expansion to the domain of lung cancer.

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co - Investment Thesis

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

CARSgen Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsgen-therapeutics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32213:1" rel="noopener">CARSgen Therapeutics (2171 HK)</a> is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that it is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. Pre-IPO investors include Hillhouse Capital, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-jolly-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7333:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Jolly Pharmaceutical (300181 CH)</a>, KTB Network, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tasly-pharmaceutical-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9569:1" rel="noopener">Tasly Pharmaceutical Group (600535 CH)</a>, Loyal Valley Capital, Shiyu Investment Management and Lilly Asia Ventures.</p></div><div><p>CARsgen has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$2,795 million ($360 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$29.60-32.80 per share.</p></div><div><p>Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $230 million in the IPO (60.38% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are LAV Group, New China Capital Management, CloudAlpha Capital Management, Orient Asset Management, WT Asset Management, GF Fund, Dymon Asia, IvyRock and China Southern Asset Management. </p></div><div><div>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/carsgen-therapeutics-ipo-initiation-choosing-therapies-a-la-car-t" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52072" rel="noopener">CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T</a>, we stated that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. </p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Our SoTP value is HK$31.74 per share which is a 2% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. Due to the limited upside to our SoTP valuation, we think that the IPO price range is full. Overall, while we like CARsgen's fundamentals, due to the full IPO price range, lack of blue-chip cornerstone support and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on the sidelines for a more attractive entry point. </p></div>
</div></div>

CARSgen Therapeutics (2171 HK) is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that it is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. Pre-IPO investors include Hillhouse Capital, Zhejiang Jolly Pharmaceutical (300181 CH), KTB Network, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group (600535 CH), Loyal Valley Capital, Shiyu Investment Management and Lilly Asia Ventures.CARsgen has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$2,795 million ($360 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$29.60-32.80 per share.Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $230 million in the IPO (60.38% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are LAV Group, New China Capital Management, CloudAlpha Capital Management, Orient Asset Management, WT Asset Management, GF Fund, Dymon Asia, IvyRock and China Southern Asset Management. 
In CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T, we stated that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. 
Our SoTP value is HK$31.74 per share which is a 2% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. Due to the limited upside to our SoTP valuation, we think that the IPO price range is full. Overall, while we like CARsgen's fundamentals, due to the full IPO price range, lack of blue-chip cornerstone support and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on the sidelines for a more attractive entry point. 


CARsgen Therapeutics IPO: Valuation Insights

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsgen-therapeutics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32213:1" rel="noopener">CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH)</a> is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. </p><p>Five CAR-T products, <em>Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi</em> and <em>Abecma</em>, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of <em>Kymriah, Yescarta</em> and <em>Tecartus</em> in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. </p></div>

CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH) is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. Five CAR-T products, Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi and Abecma, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of Kymriah, Yescarta and Tecartus in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. 

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

AlphaSituations-Event/Catalyst Driven Research, AlphaSituations

Robert Sassoon

AlphaSituations-Event/Catalyst Driven Research

AlphaSituations

Since its establishment, AlphaSituations has delivered a track record of outperformance with a hit rate of winners of more than 70% of its portfolio of ideas generating annualized average returns of 20%. In January 2022, AlphaSituations was contracted by Water Tower Research, an investor engagement and stakeholder communication platform to provide coverage of Special Situations

Event-Driven

<p>Contingent value rights, or CVRs, are  arguably the rarest security class on a stock exchange, but have become more prevalent, particularly as part of the make-up in Biopharma merger transaction terms in the last few years. While these instruments do offer advantages to asset acquirers, we demonstrate below that CVR recipients rarely benefit.</p>

Contingent value rights, or CVRs, are  arguably the rarest security class on a stock exchange, but have become more prevalent, particularly as part of the make-up in Biopharma merger transaction terms in the last few years. While these instruments do offer advantages to asset acquirers, we demonstrate below that CVR recipients rarely benefit.

MergerTalk: Contingency Value Rights - A Track Record Found Wanting

United States

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is a global biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, and sells pharmaceutical and nutritional products. Bristol-Myers Squibb products and experimental therapies address cancer, heart disease, HIV/AIDS, diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, hepatitis, organ transplant  rejection, and psychiatric disorders.

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Bristol Myers Squibb Co (BMY US)

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

We have screened for stock ideas in the area of PEPTIDES by datamining citations by industry experts in thousands of technical publications over...

Pyari Menon

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co - Investment Thesis

Bristol-Myers Squibb had another strong quarter with a particularly strong performance of its oncology drugs, Revlimid and Opdivo. After the...

Baptista Research

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO: Valuation Insights

Due to the full IPO price range, lack of blue-chip cornerstone support and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on...

Arun George

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500m. The promising prospects for the lead product, credible management and a good...

Arun George

MergerTalk: Contingency Value Rights - A Track Record Found Wanting

CVRs have seen more usage in biopharma deals in the last few years, but is that a trend for investors to get excited about?

Robert Sassoon

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