External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Clearing corporations (CCs) play a crucial role in the exchange ecosystem</li><li>They are entirely owned by exchanges and perform essential functions such as clearing, settlement and risk management</li><li>The revenue from clearing corporations has registered a strong 2Y CAGR of 71% and constitutes ~8/15% of the exchange’s consolidated revenue and profits</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Clearing corporations (CCs) play a crucial role in the exchange ecosystemThey are entirely owned by exchanges and perform essential functions such as clearing, settlement and risk managementThe revenue from clearing corporations has registered a strong 2Y CAGR of 71% and constitutes ~8/15% of the exchange’s consolidated revenue and profitsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: Clearing Corporations’ Regulations—no Major Impact

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%</li><li>Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.</li><li>CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunities</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunitiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

<ul><li>MCX: MCX is expected to report strong revenue growth of +26/56% QoQ/YoY, led by growth in options revenue (+21% QoQ) and a sharp surge in futures volume (+52% QoQ)</li><li>The profitability will improve as the cost structure has normalised post the transition</li><li>We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 1.48/1.12bn, up +45/27% QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX: MCX is expected to report strong revenue growth of +26/56% QoQ/YoY, led by growth in options revenue (+21% QoQ) and a sharp surge in futures volume (+52% QoQ)The profitability will improve as the cost structure has normalised post the transitionWe expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 1.48/1.12bn, up +45/27% QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q1FY25E Results Preview): On Growth Trajectory

<ul><li>LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY) and high credit costs (60bps)</li><li>LICHF’s NIMs continued to surprise positively at 3% (-4bps QoQ) due to muted balance sheet growth, however, the lower incremental spreads amidst elevated competitive intensity, moderation in demand and rising cost of funds are likely to normalise margins near steady state during FY25</li><li>Loan growth remains tepid (+5% YoY) across segments due to organisational and tech changes as per management and remains a key concern</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY) and high credit costs (60bps)LICHF’s NIMs continued to surprise positively at 3% (-4bps QoQ) due to muted balance sheet growth, however, the lower incremental spreads amidst elevated competitive intensity, moderation in demand and rising cost of funds are likely to normalise margins near steady state during FY25Loan growth remains tepid (+5% YoY) across segments due to organisational and tech changes as per management and remains a key concernContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, BSE, Century Plyboards India

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gasQ2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expensesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

India

BSE Ltd. is Asia's oldest stock exchange, providing a transparent market for trading in equities, debt instruments, derivatives, mutual funds, and other securities. It offers services including listing, trading, clearing, settlement, and data services, and operates platforms for SMEs and mutual fund distribution. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1875.

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BSE (BSE IN)

Exchanges: Clearing Corporations’ Regulations—no Major Impact

We have a BUY on MCX and increase our target price to INR 5,000 (vs INR 4,700 earlier) and maintain our REDUCE rating on BSE.

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q1FY25E Results Preview): On Growth Trajectory

MCX is expected to report strong revenue growth of +26/56% QoQ/YoY, led by growth in options revenue (+21% QoQ) and a sharp surge in futures volume...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, BSE, Century Plyboards India

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY)...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

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