Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD reported C3Q24 top line, non-IFRS operating income and IFRS net income 2.7%, (28%) and (12%) vs. our estimates. </li>
<li>Our ASP tracker showed promotional activities abated industry wide in October, boding well for profitability in C4Q24. </li>
<li>We maintain the stock at BUY and TP of HK$372.</li>
</ul>


BYD reported C3Q24 top line, non-IFRS operating income and IFRS net income 2.7%, (28%) and (12%) vs. our estimates. 
Our ASP tracker showed promotional activities abated industry wide in October, boding well for profitability in C4Q24. 
We maintain the stock at BUY and TP of HK$372.


[BYD Company (1211 HK, BUY, TP HK$372) Review]: Great Earnings Linearity Stays the Same This Quarter

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/XPEV US:Shanghai Further Offers Car Trade-in Subsidies . (+)</li>
<li>ATAT US: China hotel industry remains lukewarm in 3Q24 (-)</li>
<li>ATAT US:Hotel bookings in Shanghai during the CIIE increase by 80% year-on-year (+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/XPEV US:Shanghai Further Offers Car Trade-in Subsidies . (+)
ATAT US: China hotel industry remains lukewarm in 3Q24 (-)
ATAT US:Hotel bookings in Shanghai during the CIIE increase by 80% year-on-year (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.</li>
<li>Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.</li>
<li>We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK) is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.
Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.
We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.


Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

Price Gauge
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BYD (1211 HK)

[BYD Company (1211 HK, BUY, TP HK$372) Review]: Great Earnings Linearity Stays the Same This Quarter

BYD's recent financial results fell short of estimates, but decreased promotional activities in October suggest improved profitability in the next...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[BYD Company (1211 HK, BUY, TP HK$372) Review]: Great Earnings Linearity Stays the Same This Quarter

​BYD's recent financial results fell short of estimates, but decreased promotional activities in October suggest improved profitability in the next...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

​Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

​Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BYD's recent financial results fell short of estimates, but decreased promotional activities in October suggest improved profitability in the next...

Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...