IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seres-group-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206418" rel="noopener">Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>.</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 24.8% (based on the 24 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case.
The proposed AH discount of 24.8% (based on the 24 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1.7bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1.7bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for the Hang Seng and eight prominent Hong Kong stocks</li>
<li>
Highlight: With a dense earnings calendar ahead, volatility dispersion is widening — BYD trades rich into results, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain notably cheap relative to history.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for the Hang Seng and eight prominent Hong Kong stocks

Highlight: With a dense earnings calendar ahead, volatility dispersion is widening — BYD trades rich into results, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain notably cheap relative to history.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are two additions for the index and there will also be capping changes for some stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$813m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index has broken out of the secular downtrend, but investors continue to redeem units from the ETFs tracking the index.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are two additions for the index and there will also be capping changes for some stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$813m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
The index has broken out of the secular downtrend, but investors continue to redeem units from the ETFs tracking the index.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 17th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 17th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi, HSBC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi, HSBC

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

Rich vs. cheap volatility in Hong Kong’s top stocks: BYD trades rich, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain subdued, as options highlight growing...

Gaudenz Schneider

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes

There are 2 adds and capping changes for the Global Lithium Index next week. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and the round-trip trade is...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 17th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights

Seres Group has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion. The proposed AH discount of 24.8% implied by the H Share offer price is...

Arun George

Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Selective Volatility Picks Emerge Across HSI Stocks

Rich vs. cheap volatility in Hong Kong’s top stocks: BYD trades rich, while Tencent and Xiaomi remain subdued, as options highlight growing...

Gaudenz Schneider

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes

There are 2 adds and capping changes for the Global Lithium Index next week. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and the round-trip trade is...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 17th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CMB, CCB, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM