Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Japan’s largest snacks maker, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calbee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17054:1" rel="noopener">Calbee Inc (2229 JP)</a> is raising prices by 10-20% for almost 75% of its product range.</li>
<li>These price hikes have boded well with institutional investors with a vast most of them deciding to up their stake in the company following the first price hike announcement.</li>
<li>While institutional-investors bet on earnings growth over long-term through regular price revisions, we think there could also be short and medium-term gains as OP growth turns positive after many years.</li>
</ul>


Japan’s largest snacks maker, Calbee Inc (2229 JP) is raising prices by 10-20% for almost 75% of its product range.
These price hikes have boded well with institutional investors with a vast most of them deciding to up their stake in the company following the first price hike announcement.
While institutional-investors bet on earnings growth over long-term through regular price revisions, we think there could also be short and medium-term gains as OP growth turns positive after many years.


Calbee – Price Hikes Are Appealing to Institutional Investors

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.</li>
<li>Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they <em>are</em> in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.
Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they are in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.


MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Leapmotor IPO - Weak Demand but Concentrated Allocation

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.
LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Largest Lockup Release of the Lot at US$3bn

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lawson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1040:1" rel="noopener">Lawson Inc (2651 JP)</a>  has begun the rollout of a completely updated private brand, along with new ranges of regional gourmet foods. The move brings Lawson back into the race against Seven &amp; I's preeminent private brand, Seven Premium and adds to other new initiatives like its new partnership with Muji and Lawson Bank which should provide new sources of income and higher margins in the next two years.</p>

Lawson Inc (2651 JP)  has begun the rollout of a completely updated private brand, along with new ranges of regional gourmet foods. The move brings Lawson back into the race against Seven &amp; I's preeminent private brand, Seven Premium and adds to other new initiatives like its new partnership with Muji and Lawson Bank which should provide new sources of income and higher margins in the next two years.

Japan

CALBEE, Inc. manufactures a wide range of snack foods using potato, wheat, and corn as a main ingredient. The company also manufactures bakery products and cereals.

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Calbee Inc (2229 JP)

Calbee – Price Hikes Are Appealing to Institutional Investors

Japan’s largest snacks maker, Calbee is raising prices by 10-20% for almost 75% of its product range. These price hikes have boded well with...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Bounce potential given $ACWX $EFA testing downtrend channel supports, but it would likely be a short-term trading opportunity due to the fact that...

Vermilion Research

Leapmotor IPO - Weak Demand but Concentrated Allocation

Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.

Sumeet Singh

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Largest Lockup Release of the Lot at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Lawson Relaunches Private Brand

Lawson Inc (2651 JP) has begun the rollout of a completely updated private brand, along with new ranges of regional gourmet foods. The move brings...

Michael Causton

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