Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists</li>
<li>Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are declining</li>
<li>Last BoC commodity trend a lagging indicator that has historically confirmed peak demand</li>
<li>When base materials decline, gold usually comes to the fore</li>
<li>Chinese stimulus coming, good for iron ore but little else</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freeport-mcmoran-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12491:1" rel="noopener">Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">Mmg Ltd (1208 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25419:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK/B CN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-zinc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8688:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16279:1" rel="noopener">Southern Copper (SCCO US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maverix-metals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28296" rel="noopener">Maverix Metals Inc (MMX CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kidman-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13917:1" rel="noopener">Kidman Resources (KDR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pensana-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2106:1" rel="noopener">Pensana Metals (PM8 AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azumah-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5124:1" rel="noopener">Azumah Resources (AZM AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldphyre-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1938:1" rel="noopener">Australian Potash (APC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-rim-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8395:1" rel="noopener">Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neometals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4946:1" rel="noopener">Neometals Ltd (NMT AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-metals-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10142:1" rel="noopener">Venus Metals Corp (VMC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s2-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1139:1" rel="noopener">S2 Resources (S2R AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canyon-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15927:1" rel="noopener">Canyon Resources (CAY AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lucapa-diamond-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7068:1" rel="noopener">Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU),</a> Piedmont Lithium (ASX: PLL), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lion-one-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28159:1" rel="noopener">Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausmex-mining-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11167:1" rel="noopener">Ausmex Mining Group (AMG AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bardoc-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4833" rel="noopener">Bardoc Gold (BDC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vango-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19897:1" rel="noopener">Vango Mining (VAN AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dateline-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19564:1" rel="noopener">Dateline Resources (DTR AU),</a> Galena (ASX: G1A), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zyl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2971:1" rel="noopener">Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntm-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19562" rel="noopener">NTM Gold (NTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu Mines (XAM AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alt-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28297" rel="noopener">ALT Resources Ltd (ARS AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exore-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16357" rel="noopener">Exore Resources (ERX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spectrum-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2237" rel="noopener">Spectrum Metals (SPX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20445:1" rel="noopener">Northern Minerals (NTU AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bowen-coking-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17492" rel="noopener">Bowen Coking Coal (BCB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syndicated-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1219:1" rel="noopener">Syndicated Metals (SMD AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minotaur-exploration-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20909:1" rel="noopener">Minotaur Exploration (MEP AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oro-verde-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5298:1" rel="noopener">Oro Verde Ltd (OVL AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superior-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15163:1" rel="noopener">Superior Lake Resources (SUP AU)</a> </li>
</ul>


We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists
Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are declining
Last BoC commodity trend a lagging indicator that has historically confirmed peak demand
When base materials decline, gold usually comes to the fore
Chinese stimulus coming, good for iron ore but little else

Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US), Mmg Ltd (1208 HK), Teck Resources (TECK/B CN), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Coal India Ltd (COAL IN), Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN), Southern Copper (SCCO US), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ), Maverix Metals Inc (MMX CN), Red 5 Ltd (RED AU), Kidman Resources (KDR AU), Pensana Metals (PM8 AU), Azumah Resources (AZM AU), Australian Potash (APC AU), Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU), Neometals Ltd (NMT AU), Venus Metals Corp (VMC AU), S2 Resources (S2R AU), Canyon Resources (CAY AU), Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU), Piedmont Lithium (ASX: PLL), Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU), Ausmex Mining Group (AMG AU), Bardoc Gold (BDC AU), Vango Mining (VAN AU), Dateline Resources (DTR AU), Galena (ASX: G1A), Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU), NTM Gold (NTM AU), Xanadu Mines (XAM AU), ALT Resources Ltd (ARS AU) , Exore Resources (ERX AU), Spectrum Metals (SPX AU), Northern Minerals (NTU AU), Bowen Coking Coal (BCB AU), Syndicated Metals (SMD AU), Minotaur Exploration (MEP AU), Oro Verde Ltd (OVL AU), Superior Lake Resources (SUP AU) 


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 30/08/19)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months</li>
<li>Actively looking for uranium short positions</li>
<li>Provide summarised watch list</li>
<li>Wisdom from Samuel Longhorne Clemens</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27844" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27844:1">Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17078" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17078:1">Berkeley Energy (BKY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25364" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25364:1">Cameco Corp (CCO CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27734" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27734:1">Kazatomprom Natsionalnaya At (KZAP KZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28004" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28004:1">Jangada Mines PLC (JAN LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28005" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28005:1">Europa Metals Ltd (EUZ LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10708" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10708:1">Buxton Resources (BUX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2564" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/18292" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18292:1">Myanmar Metals (MYL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13112" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13112:1">Archer Exploration (AXE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15927" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15927:1">Canyon Resources (CAY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4293" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4293:1">Catalyst Metals (CYL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14712" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1">Core Exploration (CXO AU)</a>, Exore Resources (ASX: ERX), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20213" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20213:1">Stavely Minerals (SVY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28006" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28007" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28007:1">Horizonte Minerals PLC (HZM LN)</a>, Bellevue Gold (ASX: BGL), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14443" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14443:1">Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU)</a>, First Au (ASX: FAU), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3189" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3189:1">Base Resources (BSE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19210" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19210:1">Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)</a>  </li>
</ul>


Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months
Actively looking for uranium short positions
Provide summarised watch list
Wisdom from Samuel Longhorne Clemens

Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN), Berkeley Energy (BKY AU), Cameco Corp (CCO CN), Kazatomprom Natsionalnaya At (KZAP KZ), Jangada Mines PLC (JAN LN), Europa Metals Ltd (EUZ LN), Buxton Resources (BUX AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Myanmar Metals (MYL AU), Archer Exploration (AXE AU), Canyon Resources (CAY AU), Catalyst Metals (CYL AU), Core Exploration (CXO AU), Exore Resources (ASX: ERX), Stavely Minerals (SVY AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Horizonte Minerals PLC (HZM LN), Bellevue Gold (ASX: BGL), Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU), First Au (ASX: FAU), Base Resources (BSE AU), Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)  


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 22/03/19)

Australia

Canyon Resources Limited is an African focussed mineral exploration company. The Company has interests in the Birsok Bauxite Project in Cameroon and several gold projects in Burkina Faso.

Canyon Resources (CAY AU)

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 30/08/19)

We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are...

Gaius King

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 22/03/19)

Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months Actively looking for uranium short positions Provide summarised watch list Wisdom from Samuel...

Boost Research