Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated holding was USD2,287.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated holding was USD2,287.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 29th): Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.
There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.


Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 22nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,141.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, UMC, Compeq Manufacturing, Unimicron Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 22nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,141.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, UMC, Compeq Manufacturing, Unimicron Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 22nd): TSMC, MediaTek, UMC, Compeq Manufacturing

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 15th. The aggregated holding was USD2,103.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,715mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Asustek Computer, Wiwynn, Global Unichip.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 15th. The aggregated holding was USD2,103.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,715mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Asustek Computer, Wiwynn, Global Unichip.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 15th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Asustek Computer, Wiwynn

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s weak guidance last week and Q2 shipment downgrades for Apple reflect the ‘peak smartphone’ underweight stance on the Asian supply chain covered last September and since.</li>
<li>Smartphone sales have entered a structural slowdown – chip companies like MediaTek which have diversified revenue exposure into new end markets look more resilient.</li>
<li>The sell-off in semi equipment makers despite strong results reflects fears that the DRAM/NAND capex cycles are also topping out -  NAND prices fell up to 10%…</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s weak guidance last week and Q2 shipment downgrades for Apple reflect the ‘peak smartphone’ underweight stance on the Asian supply chain covered last September and since.
Smartphone sales have entered a structural slowdown – chip companies like MediaTek which have diversified revenue exposure into new end markets look more resilient.
The sell-off in semi equipment makers despite strong results reflects fears that the DRAM/NAND capex cycles are also topping out -  NAND prices fell up to 10%…


‘Peak Smartphone’ Thesis Goes Mainstream, as EM Disappoints Bulls…

Taiwan

Catcher Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures aluminum and magnesium die casting products which are used in notebook computers, cellular phones, and hard disk drive bases.

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Catcher Technology (2474 TT)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 29th): Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT), Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

The index rebalances at the close tomorrow and there will be huge volume in the constituent changes at the close. Since announcement, the adds have...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 22nd): TSMC, MediaTek, UMC, Compeq Manufacturing

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, MediaTek, UMC, Compeq Manufacturing,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 15th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Asustek Computer, Wiwynn

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Asustek Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

‘Peak Smartphone’ Thesis Goes Mainstream, as EM Disappoints Bulls…

TSMC’s weak guidance last week and Q2 shipment downgrades for Apple reflect the ‘peak smartphone’ underweight stance on the Asian supply chain...

Sean Maher

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52-week Range

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