Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FT article uncovers other contributors to surging air freight rates—Chinese online brands Temu and Shein are flooding Western nations with fast fashion and inexpensive e-commerce goods  </li>
<li>The biggest beneficiaries are Chinese carriers with significant air cargo exposure, and Cathay Pacific. This presents a potential catalyst for an earnings beat and a boost to the share price.</li>
<li>Carriers from Taiwan and South Korea will benefit from supply tightness to the U.S.. Logistics providers are unlikely to benefit much due to tight margins and volatile high freight rates </li>
</ul>


FT article uncovers other contributors to surging air freight rates—Chinese online brands Temu and Shein are flooding Western nations with fast fashion and inexpensive e-commerce goods  
The biggest beneficiaries are Chinese carriers with significant air cargo exposure, and Cathay Pacific. This presents a potential catalyst for an earnings beat and a boost to the share price.
Carriers from Taiwan and South Korea will benefit from supply tightness to the U.S.. Logistics providers are unlikely to benefit much due to tight margins and volatile high freight rates 


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>In early December 2022, Chinese authorities relaxed many Covid-19 restrictions</li>
<li>A year in, the recovery in Chinese tourism activity has disappointed, so far</li>
<li>Similarly, most Chinese tourism stocks have performed poorly over the last year</li>
</ul>


In early December 2022, Chinese authorities relaxed many Covid-19 restrictions
A year in, the recovery in Chinese tourism activity has disappointed, so far
Similarly, most Chinese tourism stocks have performed poorly over the last year


12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> share price performance for the last 5 years is quite strong, thanks to the COVID rebound. </li>
<li>However, losses are still coming, notably from the continuing loss from Air India as well as the delayed fuel hedging loss as net fuel cost skyrocketed by 78% YoY.</li>
<li>Air India losses come from a crowded market (with low-cost carriers) as well as integration issues. More capital calls are expected, which is a negative for Singapore Airlines. </li>
</ul>



Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) share price performance for the last 5 years is quite strong, thanks to the COVID rebound. 
However, losses are still coming, notably from the continuing loss from Air India as well as the delayed fuel hedging loss as net fuel cost skyrocketed by 78% YoY.
Air India losses come from a crowded market (with low-cost carriers) as well as integration issues. More capital calls are expected, which is a negative for Singapore Airlines. 


<ul>
<li>China is expanding its list of countries allowed to enter visa-free. A good gesture to make China more friendly to foreigners and one step closer to global best practices </li>
<li>Chinese major airlines and airports can become more desirable global aviation hubs, assuming they play their cards right </li>
<li>Doubt much can change in a year, but the seeds are sown for stiffer competition for airlines with a hub-and-spoke strategy in North Asia</li>
</ul>


China is expanding its list of countries allowed to enter visa-free. A good gesture to make China more friendly to foreigners and one step closer to global best practices 
Chinese major airlines and airports can become more desirable global aviation hubs, assuming they play their cards right 
Doubt much can change in a year, but the seeds are sown for stiffer competition for airlines with a hub-and-spoke strategy in North Asia


China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Lou Jiwei /: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on tackling a greying China</li><li>Corruption /: Trending in China: ‘Lenient’ punishment of corrupt retired official sparks anger</li><li>XPeng /: XPeng suspends supply chain chief in internal graft crackdown</li></ul>

Lou Jiwei /: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on tackling a greying ChinaCorruption /: Trending in China: ‘Lenient’ punishment of corrupt retired official sparks angerXPeng /: XPeng suspends supply chain chief in internal graft crackdown

CX Daily: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on Tackling a Greying China

Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific is a premium travel lifestyle brand offering scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, along with low-cost travel and various lifestyle products and services. The airline connects Hong Kong, mainland China, and the world through its hub at Hong Kong International Airport. It was founded in Hong Kong in 1946.

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Cathay Pacific (293 HK)

There's Something About Air Cargo

Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

Mo Aziz

12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

A year after most of China's pandemic-related travel restrictions were eased, we look back at the recovery in Chinese tourism activity in 2023.

Tracking Traffic

SINGAPORE AIRLINES (SIA): Bloody

Singapore Airlines Share Price performance is still quite strong despite a poor investment result from Air India. More capital calls are expected,...

Henry Soediarko

China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...

Mo Aziz

CX Daily: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on Tackling a Greying China

Lou Jiwei /: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on tackling a greying China Corruption /: Trending in China: ‘Lenient’ punishment of corrupt retired...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

There's Something About Air Cargo

​Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

Mo Aziz

12 Months In, China's Tourism Recovery & Performance of China Tourism Shares Have Both Disappointed

A year after most of China's pandemic-related travel restrictions were eased, we look back at the recovery in Chinese tourism activity in 2023.

Tracking Traffic

SINGAPORE AIRLINES (SIA): Bloody

Singapore Airlines Share Price performance is still quite strong despite a poor investment result from Air India. More capital calls are expected,...

Henry Soediarko

China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

​China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...

Mo Aziz

CX Daily: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on Tackling a Greying China

Lou Jiwei /: Exclusive Interview: Lou Jiwei on tackling a greying China Corruption /: Trending in China: ‘Lenient’ punishment of corrupt retired...

Caixin Global

Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...