Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of last week's 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). We discussed last week to add exposure to growth/Technology.</li>
<li>RS on the cap-weighted XLK is now breaking above its 2025 highs and we are upgrading Technology to overweight</li>
<li>We have remained overweight semiconductors (SMH, NVDA, TSM, CIEN, etc.) and memory (SNDK, WDC, STX, MU) ever since our 6/17/25 Compass, and these remain our favorite areas within Tech.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of last week's 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). We discussed last week to add exposure to growth/Technology.
RS on the cap-weighted XLK is now breaking above its 2025 highs and we are upgrading Technology to overweight
We have remained overweight semiconductors (SMH, NVDA, TSM, CIEN, etc.) and memory (SNDK, WDC, STX, MU) ever since our 6/17/25 Compass, and these remain our favorite areas within Tech.


Upgrading Technology to Overweight; Adding on Any Pullbacks

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Celestica's Q4 2025 financial results reflect a period of significant growth driven by the company's Communications and Enterprise Solutions (CCS) segment, leading to record levels in both revenue and operating margins.</li><li>The strong quarterly performance was characterized by a 44% revenue increase to $3.65 billion, surpassing the company's guidance range, with notable contributions from the CCS segment, which saw its revenues grow by 64%.</li><li>This was largely driven by increased demand for high-capacity networking equipment and data center technologies, highlighting Celestica's alignment with current market trends such as AI-related data center advancements.</li></ul>

Celestica's Q4 2025 financial results reflect a period of significant growth driven by the company's Communications and Enterprise Solutions (CCS) segment, leading to record levels in both revenue and operating margins.The strong quarterly performance was characterized by a 44% revenue increase to $3.65 billion, surpassing the company's guidance range, with notable contributions from the CCS segment, which saw its revenues grow by 64%.This was largely driven by increased demand for high-capacity networking equipment and data center technologies, highlighting Celestica's alignment with current market trends such as AI-related data center advancements.

Why Celestica’s Expansion in Thailand and Texas Signals Long-Term Confidence, Not Cycle Risk!

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and M&amp;A this week: MiniMax H3 topped video editing while DeepSeek moved toward higher API pricing.</li>
<li>China labs are active: Alibaba launched Qwen3.8-Max, Tencent expanded Hy3, ByteDance accepted a frontier gap, and Kimi K3 escaped a test sandbox.</li>
<li>Infrastructure and financing: memory makers expanded capacity, CoreWeave and Microsoft added data centers, and Switch filed for a US IPO.</li>
</ul>


We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and M&amp;A this week: MiniMax H3 topped video editing while DeepSeek moved toward higher API pricing.
China labs are active: Alibaba launched Qwen3.8-Max, Tencent expanded Hy3, ByteDance accepted a frontier gap, and Kimi K3 escaped a test sandbox.
Infrastructure and financing: memory makers expanded capacity, CoreWeave and Microsoft added data centers, and Switch filed for a US IPO.


This Week in AI (Aug 2-8): MiniMax H3 Led Video AI; DeepSeek Raises Price and Resumes Funding

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Support at $152.35-$153.70 on ACWI-US held, and we discussed last week- as long as this support holds, the multi-month consolidation appears healthy as ACWI-US works off excesses from April-May gains.</li>
<li>ACWI-US now displays a clean 2-month base breakout, MSCI EM (EEM-US) is reversing its 1+ month downtrend, and MSCI EAFE (EFA-US) displays a 5.5+ month base breakout.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.
Support at $152.35-$153.70 on ACWI-US held, and we discussed last week- as long as this support holds, the multi-month consolidation appears healthy as ACWI-US works off excesses from April-May gains.
ACWI-US now displays a clean 2-month base breakout, MSCI EM (EEM-US) is reversing its 1+ month downtrend, and MSCI EAFE (EFA-US) displays a 5.5+ month base breakout.


Time to Buy Global Tech Stocks (Lenovo, SAP); Metals/Miners Also in Focus; MSCI ACWI Clean Breakout

<ul><li>Celestica reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by impressive performance in its Connectivity and Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment.</li><li>The company's revenue reached $3.19 billion, marking a 28% increase from the previous year, and surpassing the high end of their guidance.</li><li>The growth was largely fueled by the Communications end market within the CCS segment, where revenue surged by 82%, predominantly due to increased demand in data center networking, including ramping 800G switch programs.</li></ul>

Celestica reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by impressive performance in its Connectivity and Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment.The company's revenue reached $3.19 billion, marking a 28% increase from the previous year, and surpassing the high end of their guidance.The growth was largely fueled by the Communications end market within the CCS segment, where revenue surged by 82%, predominantly due to increased demand in data center networking, including ramping 800G switch programs.

Celestica Inside Hyperscale: Can The 1.6T Tech Power The Next Data Boom?

Canada

Celestica Inc. designs and manufactures electronic components.  The Company's products and services include design, prototyping, printed circuit assembly, full system assembly, power converters, memory packages and repair services. Celestica markets its products and services to original equipment manufacturers, primarily in the computer and communications sector.

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Celestica (CLS US)

Upgrading Technology to Overweight; Adding on Any Pullbacks

Upgrading Technology $XLK to Overweight; Adding on Pullbacks. $NVDA $MU $CRWD $CDNS $CRML $UAMY $MP $LAC $SLB $BKR $HAL $ANDE $REX $GPRE $ALTO

Vermilion Research

Why Celestica’s Expansion in Thailand and Texas Signals Long-Term Confidence, Not Cycle Risk!

Celestica's Q4 2025 financial results reflect a period of significant growth driven by the company's Communications and Enterprise Solutions (CCS)...

Baptista Research

This Week in AI (Aug 2-8): MiniMax H3 Led Video AI; DeepSeek Raises Price and Resumes Funding

This week in AI: MiniMax H3 tops video editing; DeepSeek seeks close to USD 8bn and hikes API prices; Switch files for a USD 10bn IPO.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Time to Buy Global Tech Stocks (Lenovo, SAP); Metals/Miners Also in Focus; MSCI ACWI Clean Breakout

Time to Buy Global Technology Stocks (Lite-On, Lenovo, $SAP, etc.); Metals/Miners Also in Focus $AYA $GDX $XME; MSCI $ACWI Clean Breakout; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Celestica Inside Hyperscale: Can The 1.6T Tech Power The Next Data Boom?

Celestica reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by impressive performance in its Connectivity and Cloud...

Baptista Research

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