Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> achieved 178% YoY and 21% QoQ revenue growth to KRW1,064B in 4Q24, driven by rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Steqeyma.</li>
<li>Celltrion guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Celltrion is targeting COGS ratio in 20%s by 4Q25. Operating profit margin is expected to recover to 30%s in 2025.  </li>
<li>New launches, COGS improvement, and cost efficiency will drive 2025 growth. This year, Celltrion received European approval for four biosimilars and three biosimilars are under regulatory review in the U.S.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) achieved 178% YoY and 21% QoQ revenue growth to KRW1,064B in 4Q24, driven by rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Steqeyma.
Celltrion guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Celltrion is targeting COGS ratio in 20%s by 4Q25. Operating profit margin is expected to recover to 30%s in 2025.  
New launches, COGS improvement, and cost efficiency will drive 2025 growth. This year, Celltrion received European approval for four biosimilars and three biosimilars are under regulatory review in the U.S.


Celltrion (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 4Q; Sequentially Weaker Profit; Solid Outlook for 2025

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, Kakaopay, NAVER

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) announced meaningful increase in dividends (including both cash and stock dividends).</li>
<li><em><strong> Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024, this will be 150% higher than the average stock dividend in the past three years. </strong></em></li>
<li>Celltrion will also pay out cash DPS of 750 won for shareholders as of record in 2024, which is more than double the average DPS in the past three years. </li>
</ul>


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) announced meaningful increase in dividends (including both cash and stock dividends).
 Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024, this will be 150% higher than the average stock dividend in the past three years. 
Celltrion will also pay out cash DPS of 750 won for shareholders as of record in 2024, which is more than double the average DPS in the past three years. 


Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.</li>
<li>The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.</li>
<li>In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.
The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.
In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 3Q; Pipeline Progress Entails Long-Term Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.</li>
<li>A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.</li>
<li>Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.</li>
</ul>


Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.
A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.
Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

South Korea

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

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Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)

Celltrion (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 4Q; Sequentially Weaker Profit; Solid Outlook for 2025

Celltrion reported 178% revenue growth in 4Q24. The company guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Operating profit margin is expected to...

Tina Banerjee

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, Kakaopay, NAVER

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends

Celltrion Inc announced meaningful increase in dividends. Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024 (up...

Douglas Kim