Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Based on prices and turnover from 16 January, there could be four additions for the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index is up 108% over the last year and there have been large creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-uranium-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32107:1" rel="noopener">Global X Uranium ETF (URA US)</a> over the last 9 months.</li>
</ul>


Based on prices and turnover from 16 January, there could be four additions for the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.
The index is up 108% over the last year and there have been large creations in Global X Uranium ETF (URA US) over the last 9 months.


Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Adds + Capping

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>HK Alpha portfolio gained 2.22% in September, outperforming its benchmark by 5.36%. Since inception, the portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 66% to 93%. HK ALPHA is up 14.35% YTD.</li>
<li>The Sharpe ratio stands at 1.22, compared with a benchmark of 0.56 since inception. This higher Sharpe ratio is driven by excess alpha, which represents more than 50% of returns.</li>
<li>The portfolio gained in the healthcare and energy sectors in August, while exposure to materials and communication services dragged on performance.</li>
</ul>


HK Alpha portfolio gained 2.22% in September, outperforming its benchmark by 5.36%. Since inception, the portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 66% to 93%. HK ALPHA is up 14.35% YTD.
The Sharpe ratio stands at 1.22, compared with a benchmark of 0.56 since inception. This higher Sharpe ratio is driven by excess alpha, which represents more than 50% of returns.
The portfolio gained in the healthcare and energy sectors in August, while exposure to materials and communication services dragged on performance.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2026)

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM, Dantes Outlook

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM

Dantes Outlook

We invest over a full market cycle, using multi-asset portfolios tailored to each global client, from individuals to family offices.

Built to Endure

<ul>
<li>
Offshore relative value: We tested 12-month relative returns across onshore vs. offshore, and both vs. EM. Offshore China is the oversold leg, driven by its own weakness rather than onshore strength. </li>
<li>
AI rotation: The performance gap reflects capital favoring the onshore industrial upgrades vs. offshore consumption. Re-rating requires offshore earnings pickup regardless of how cheap the multiple looks.</li>
<li>
Stock selection:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/msci-china-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22895:1" rel="noopener">MSCI China Index (MXCN INDEX)</a> is dominated by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> while dispersion across the index is wide. We built an investable bucket.
</li>
</ul>



Offshore relative value: We tested 12-month relative returns across onshore vs. offshore, and both vs. EM. Offshore China is the oversold leg, driven by its own weakness rather than onshore strength. 

AI rotation: The performance gap reflects capital favoring the onshore industrial upgrades vs. offshore consumption. Re-rating requires offshore earnings pickup regardless of how cheap the multiple looks.

Stock selection:MSCI China Index (MXCN INDEX) is dominated by Tencent (700 HK) and Alibaba (9988 HK) while dispersion across the index is wide. We built an investable bucket.



China Equities: Relative Upside in Offshore Vs. Onshore Stocks

<ul>
<li>AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.</li>
<li>China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.</li>
<li>China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.</li>
</ul>


AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong continued a correction in its Bull market which has lifted the HSCEI to be the best performing Asian index this year.  Southboune buying is strong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> share price had a breakout relative to the MSCI AC Asia Index.  The company reported solid results benifitting from the smartphone and auto sectors.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a> share price relative to MSCI China broke down.  The company reported a disappointing 3Q24 results even as power generation increased by 15% YoY for the period.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong continued a correction in its Bull market which has lifted the HSCEI to be the best performing Asian index this year.  Southboune buying is strong.

AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) share price had a breakout relative to the MSCI AC Asia Index.  The company reported solid results benifitting from the smartphone and auto sectors.


CGN Power (1816 HK) share price relative to MSCI China broke down.  The company reported a disappointing 3Q24 results even as power generation increased by 15% YoY for the period.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 25)

China

CGN Power Co., Ltd. is a holding company primarily engaged in the generation and sale of nuclear power, as well as the construction, operation, and management of nuclear and non-nuclear clean energy projects. It is China's largest domestic nuclear power operator. The company was founded on March 25, 2014, and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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CGN Power (1816 HK)

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Adds + Capping

We highlight 4 potential inclusions for the index in January. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There...

Brian Freitas

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2026)

HK Alpha portfolio gained 2.22% in September, outperforming its benchmark by 5.36%. Since inception, the portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by...

David Mudd

China Equities: Relative Upside in Offshore Vs. Onshore Stocks

Offshore China is improving relative to onshore China. We anticipate a re-ratings cycle and selected a basket of offshore stocks for active returns.

Damanick Dantes, CMT

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

GDS Holdings announced that is considering an IPO for a REIT of its data center assets in China which could happen next year. The share sale could...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 25)

Southbound buying in HK continued strong with Value Factor providing the best returns.AAC Tech share price had a break out as it provided strong...

David Mudd

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