Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.
Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.


Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Highwealth Construction / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.</li>
<li>High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline</li>
<li>Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?</li>
</ul>


Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.
High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline
Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?


Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.
Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

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Chailease Holding (5871 TT)

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 5 changes in June. Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a 1-way turnover of 12.7% and a 1-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Based on current estimates, there could be five inflow names and six outflow names with more than five days of volume to trade during the June 2024...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Chailease shows major stresses in net profit in China and Asean, with declines also in Taiwan. Credit costs are incredibly elevated for past 2...

Daniel Tabbush

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 5 changes in June. Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a 1-way turnover of 12.7% and a 1-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Based on current estimates, there could be five inflow names and six outflow names with more than five days of volume to trade during the June 2024...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Chailease shows major stresses in net profit in China and Asean, with declines also in Taiwan. Credit costs are incredibly elevated for past 2...

Daniel Tabbush

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade