Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In modern warfare, UAVs have unbeatable advantages: zero casualties, low overall cost, strong maneuverability, strong adaptability to the environment, with a higher proportion of payload,  and will be widely used.  </li>
<li>Military UAV growth mainly depends on the defense spending. Israel, the United States, and China dominate the military UAV trade market.</li>
<li>Top listed Chinese producers ranked by UAV revenue (in RMB) in 2021: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avic-chengdu-uas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36280:1" rel="noopener">China AVIC (688297 CH)</a> (2.48bn); <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-nanyang-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16813:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Nanyang Technology Co,Ltd. (002389 CH)</a> (1.12bn); <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-aerospace-times-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3330:1" rel="noopener">China Aerospace Times Electronics (600879 CH)</a> (780mn).</li>
</ul>


In modern warfare, UAVs have unbeatable advantages: zero casualties, low overall cost, strong maneuverability, strong adaptability to the environment, with a higher proportion of payload,  and will be widely used.  
Military UAV growth mainly depends on the defense spending. Israel, the United States, and China dominate the military UAV trade market.
Top listed Chinese producers ranked by UAV revenue (in RMB) in 2021: China AVIC (688297 CH) (2.48bn); Zhejiang Nanyang Technology Co,Ltd. (002389 CH) (1.12bn); China Aerospace Times Electronics (600879 CH) (780mn).


No Man's Sky: China Military UAV Market Overview

Emerging markets PM, economist, CFA charterholder

Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

AviChina Industry & Technology H / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>On Tuesday (August 8), President Trump ratcheted up his anti-North Korea rhetoric to a new level, taking time out from a holiday at his Bedminster, NJ golf club to threaten the worker’s paradise with “fire and fury.” (See <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trump-s-thundering-tweets-take-korea-to-the-brink-of-war" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:11910">Trump’s Thundering Tweets Take Korea to the Brink of War</a> for an excellent analysis of this development.) It seems the North’s propaganda machine, which has been fantasizing for years about drowning Seoul in a “sea of fire,” has met its match at last. But does this actually…</p>

On Tuesday (August 8), President Trump ratcheted up his anti-North Korea rhetoric to a new level, taking time out from a holiday at his Bedminster, NJ golf club to threaten the worker’s paradise with “fire and fury.” (See Trump’s Thundering Tweets Take Korea to the Brink of War for an excellent analysis of this development.) It seems the North’s propaganda machine, which has been fantasizing for years about drowning Seoul in a “sea of fire,” has met its match at last. But does this actually…

Chinese Defense Stocks Point to Tempest in Teapot, Not "Fire and Fury"

China

China Aerospace Times Electronics Technology Co Ltd designs, manufactures, and markets avariety of commercial air planes and space-related products, as well as providesrelated services.  The Company's products include launch vehicles, satellite reception equipment, measurement devices, and automation control systems.

China Aerospace Times Electronics (600879 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Aerospace Times Electronics (600879 CH)

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

No Man's Sky: China Military UAV Market Overview

With tension ratcheting up across the Taiwan strait, and an ongoing war in Ukraine, the role of UAVs in modern warfare is being accelerated. Will...

Evelyn Zhang

Chinese Defense Stocks Point to Tempest in Teapot, Not "Fire and Fury"

On Tuesday (August 8), President Trump ratcheted up his anti-North Korea rhetoric to a new level, taking time out from a holiday at his Bedminster,...

Mark A. DeWeaver, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)