Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.</li>
<li>The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.</li>
<li>A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. </li>
</ul>


Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.
The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.
A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. 


Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry</li><li>Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnesses</li><li>Exclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products</li></ul>

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industryShanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious illnessesExclusive: China’s ‘Big Four’ banks to start pilot program for retirement savings products

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 17th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, China Resources Land, Weichai Power, CCB, China Life, Minimax.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 17th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, China Resources Land, Weichai Power, CCB, China Life, Minimax.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, China Resources Land, Weichai Power

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020</li>
<li>Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. </li>
<li>AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.</li>
</ul>


Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020
Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. 
AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.


Asia Ex-Japan:  Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

<ul>
<li>Average holding weights in China &amp; HK have fallen to their lowest levels since late 2019. From a peak of 38.26% in October 2020, exposure has dropped to 29.01%</li>
<li>China underweights have contracted due to a combination of Russian overweights being displaced, and on the back of significant falls in the price of key index holdings.</li>
<li>China is still the largest holding in EM by a margin, but was costly to EM managers over the last year.  Active managers may be tempted to reduce allocations.</li>
</ul>


Average holding weights in China &amp; HK have fallen to their lowest levels since late 2019. From a peak of 38.26% in October 2020, exposure has dropped to 29.01%
China underweights have contracted due to a combination of Russian overweights being displaced, and on the back of significant falls in the price of key index holdings.
China is still the largest holding in EM by a margin, but was costly to EM managers over the last year.  Active managers may be tempted to reduce allocations.


China:  EM Investors Precariously Positioned

China

China Construction Bank is a leading commercial bank offering comprehensive financial services including personal and corporate banking, wealth management, and treasury operations. Its products and services encompass infrastructure loans, residential mortgages, bank cards, fund management, and financial leasing. The bank is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 1954.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Construction Bank (939 HK)

Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.

Untying The Gordian Knot

CX Daily: 'Zero Covid' Slams the Brakes on China’s Electric Car Industry

In Depth: 'Zero Covid' slams the brakes on China’s electric car industry. Shanghai’s Covid hospitals struggle to handle patients with other serious...

Caixin Global

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, China Resources Land, Weichai Power

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 17th and highlight short interest changes in Hua Hong Semi (1347 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan: Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Financials exposure moves higher. Active weights hit their highest level since early 2020. Indonesia, Singapore and India Financials were the...

Steven Holden

China: EM Investors Precariously Positioned

China is still the largest holding in EM, but was costly to EM funds over the last year. In the wake of the Russia-Sino alliance, active managers...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)