IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 13 March, Ta Kung Pao, a Hong Kong newspaper owned by the Chinese government and Communist Party, denounced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>’s planned port transaction.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.tkww.hk/a/202503/14/AP67d37c94e4b0fbda9a1257d5.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">opinion piece</a> is mainly political rhetoric, as even if China managed to block the deal, it would still not address the underlying concerns expressed in the article. </li>
<li>In the near term, the shares will likely be under pressure from a nationalistic backlash. Nevertheless, deal or no deal, the valuation remains undemanding. </li>
</ul>


On 13 March, Ta Kung Pao, a Hong Kong newspaper owned by the Chinese government and Communist Party, denounced CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)’s planned port transaction.
The opinion piece is mainly political rhetoric, as even if China managed to block the deal, it would still not address the underlying concerns expressed in the article. 
In the near term, the shares will likely be under pressure from a nationalistic backlash. Nevertheless, deal or no deal, the valuation remains undemanding. 


CK Hutchison (1 HK): Political Turbulence

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>'s port disposal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a> looks interesting, given its portfolio of port projects, which spans globally.</li>
<li>Overseas ports accounted for 38.9% of its noncurrent assets. A disposal of half of such portfolio will generate HK$15.2bn of cash flow, equalling almost 89% of its market capitalisation. </li>
<li>Even without corporate activities, its 6.4x PER, 6.7% dividend yield, and 11.8x EV/EBITDA are inexpensive. The 0.36x P/B for FY25 also deeply undervalued its assets.</li>
</ul>


Following CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s port disposal, Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK) looks interesting, given its portfolio of port projects, which spans globally.
Overseas ports accounted for 38.9% of its noncurrent assets. A disposal of half of such portfolio will generate HK$15.2bn of cash flow, equalling almost 89% of its market capitalisation. 
Even without corporate activities, its 6.4x PER, 6.7% dividend yield, and 11.8x EV/EBITDA are inexpensive. The 0.36x P/B for FY25 also deeply undervalued its assets.


COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): What's Interesting After the CKH Port Sale?

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.</li>
<li>In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.</li>
<li>Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.</li>
</ul>


In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.
In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.
Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.


Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 21st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Crrc Times (3898 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 21st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Crrc Times (3898 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 21st): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, Swire Pacific, Cosco Shipping

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>'s positive profit alert beat the FY24 forecast by 12%. It also suggests an acceleration in growth to 1.9-2.1x in 2H24, from +13% in 1H24. </li>
<li>The muted share price performance reflects concerns about an influx of capacity, intra-Asia demand outlook, and freight rate prospects. We refute such worries.</li>
<li>It stands on an attractive dividend yield of 11.1% for FY24. Even under conservative earnings forecasts, its 8.1% and 6.6% yields for FY25 and FY26 are appealing.</li>
</ul>



SITC International (1308 HK)'s positive profit alert beat the FY24 forecast by 12%. It also suggests an acceleration in growth to 1.9-2.1x in 2H24, from +13% in 1H24. 
The muted share price performance reflects concerns about an influx of capacity, intra-Asia demand outlook, and freight rate prospects. We refute such worries.
It stands on an attractive dividend yield of 11.1% for FY24. Even under conservative earnings forecasts, its 8.1% and 6.6% yields for FY25 and FY26 are appealing.


SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd offers marine freight transportation services.  The Company offers container shipping, dry bulk shipping, logistics services, freight forwarding, and terminal and container leasing services internationally.  COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd operates container ships and terminals, and manufactures shipping containers.

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COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK)

CK Hutchison (1 HK): Political Turbulence

The Ta Kung Pao piece is mainly political rhetoric, as even if China managed to block the deal, it would still not address the underlying concerns...

Arun George

COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): What's Interesting After the CKH Port Sale?

CK Hutchison's port disposal makes COSCO Shipping Ports look attractive, given its global port portfolio, potential cash flow if projects are...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 21st): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, Swire Pacific, Cosco Shipping

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Zhuzhou Crrc Times...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again

SITC beats the consensus FY24 profit forecast by 12%, implying growth acceleration in 2H24. We do not agree with concerns on capacity, demand, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CK Hutchison (1 HK): Political Turbulence

The Ta Kung Pao piece is mainly political rhetoric, as even if China managed to block the deal, it would still not address the underlying concerns...

Arun George

COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): What's Interesting After the CKH Port Sale?

​CK Hutchison's port disposal makes COSCO Shipping Ports look attractive, given its global port portfolio, potential cash flow if projects are...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

​In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 21st): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, Swire Pacific, Cosco Shipping

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Zhuzhou Crrc Times...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again

​SITC beats the consensus FY24 profit forecast by 12%, implying growth acceleration in 2H24. We do not agree with concerns on capacity, demand, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CK Hutchison's port disposal makes COSCO Shipping Ports look attractive, given its global port portfolio, potential cash flow if projects are...

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

SITC beats the consensus FY24 profit forecast by 12%, implying growth acceleration in 2H24. We do not agree with concerns on capacity, demand, and...