Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) aims to raise around US$2.5bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) aims to raise around US$2.5bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and run the deal through our ECM framework.


China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Discount Is Enticing at the Low-End

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent updates from its revised filings and revisit valuations.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we will talk about the recent updates from its revised filings and revisit valuations.


China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Updates from Revised Filing and Quick Thoughts on Valuation

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> expects a sharp 87.5-92.5% reduction in its losses in 1H22, driven primarily by significant revival in its Club Med business, though China is weak.</li>
<li>Outlook for 2H22 looks very encouraging as booking figures indicate good YoY volume growth and double-digit rate improvement in EMEA and Americas. </li>
<li>China also witnessed solid rebound in Jul and Aug after removal of lockdowns in 2Q22. New Club Med Joyview resorts including Changbaishan and Qiandaohu are added contributors. </li>
</ul>



Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) expects a sharp 87.5-92.5% reduction in its losses in 1H22, driven primarily by significant revival in its Club Med business, though China is weak.
Outlook for 2H22 looks very encouraging as booking figures indicate good YoY volume growth and double-digit rate improvement in EMEA and Americas. 
China also witnessed solid rebound in Jul and Aug after removal of lockdowns in 2Q22. New Club Med Joyview resorts including Changbaishan and Qiandaohu are added contributors. 


Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Positive Profit Alert and Improving Outlook Guidances

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Stock investors have warmed to China’s tourism industry when the government made a surprise announcement to cut the amount of time arriving overseas travellers have to spend in quarantine.</li>
<li>The surge in share prices reflects some newfound optimism in an industry that has been battered by the pandemic</li>
<li>In a press release that same day, the State Council forbade local governments from stopping people from crossing regional borders into their jurisdiction or forcing them to quarantine for no good reason</li>
</ul>


Stock investors have warmed to China’s tourism industry when the government made a surprise announcement to cut the amount of time arriving overseas travellers have to spend in quarantine.
The surge in share prices reflects some newfound optimism in an industry that has been battered by the pandemic
In a press release that same day, the State Council forbade local governments from stopping people from crossing regional borders into their jurisdiction or forcing them to quarantine for no good reason


Chinese Travel Industry Stocks Take Off After Quarantine Rule Change

<ul>
<li>Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China (753 HK)</a>. We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.</li>
<li>Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.</li>
</ul>


Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for Air China (753 HK). We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. Air China Ltd (753 HK). 
With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.
Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.


Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

China

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited operates airline businesses. The Company provides passenger transport, air freight, air catering, and other related services. China Eastern Airlines conducts businesses worldwide.

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China Eastern Airlines Lt (600115 CH)

China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Discount Is Enticing at the Low-End

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) aims to raise around US$2.5bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Updates from Revised Filing and Quick Thoughts on Valuation

China Tourism Group Duty Free now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we talk about the revised filings along...

Sumeet Singh

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Positive Profit Alert and Improving Outlook Guidances

Not only that Fosun Tourism has an improving 1H22 performance, its outlook for 2H22 is also promising as evidenced by solid forward booking, better...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Chinese Travel Industry Stocks Take Off After Quarantine Rule Change

Stock investors have warmed to China’s tourism industry when the government made a surprise announcement to cut the amount of time arriving...

Caixin Global

Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

Air China starts to feel the bottoming-out of passenger traffic in May. The pandemic has now under control and with more relaxation in quarantine...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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