Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Oct 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, financials, industrials and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Byd and CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Oct 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, financials, industrials and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Byd and CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 20th): Postal Savings, Byd, CICC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.0% as of Jul 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week on week, led by information technology, communication services, energy and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa / Index Rebalance

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa (688111 CH)

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.5% as of Apr 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, CREC, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, GWM, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.5% as of Apr 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, CREC, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, GWM, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 14th): Remegen, CREC, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, GWM, CICC

China

China International Capital Corporation Limited operates as an international investment bank. The Company provides financial services, including investment banking, capital markets, securities sales and trading, fixed income, asset management, and private equity. China International Capital also offers individual wealth management and research services.

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China International Capital (601995 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 20th): Postal Savings, Byd, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Postal Savings, Byd and China International Capital Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 28th): China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, CITIC Sec, China Pacific, BYD, CMOC, GF Sec, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in June. The adds outperformed from Feb-April but have underperformed since then. The Anhui Conch Cement...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

There will be 5 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 5.58% leading to a 1-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 14th): Remegen, CREC, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, GWM, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, CREC, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, GWM, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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