Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

<h2>Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running</h2>
<ul>
<li>
OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.</li>
<li>
At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.</li>
<li>Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.</li>
<li>
Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.</li>
</ul>

Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running


OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.

At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.
Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.

Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.


Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 18th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC, China Mobile, Lenovo, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Iluvatar Corex, Ke.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 18th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC, China Mobile, Lenovo, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Iluvatar Corex, Ke.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 18th): Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 71.9% as of May 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Power, CIMC, Beone Medicines, Midea, Weichai Power, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 71.9% as of May 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Power, CIMC, Beone Medicines, Midea, Weichai Power, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 15th): Datang Power, CIMC, Beone Medicines, Midea, Weichai Power

China

China International Marine Containers (CIMC) is a global leader in logistics and energy equipment manufacturing. It primarily designs, manufactures, and provides solutions for transportation equipment, including various types of containers, road transport vehicles, and airport facilities. The company was founded on January 14, 1980, and is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China.

China International Marine Containers (2039 HK)

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China International Marine Containers (2039 HK)

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Screening the Silk Road Q3 2021: Asia Pac High-risk names to avoid screening is out now. Eight new names, despite being down 23%, SoftBank remains...

David Lepper

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 18th): Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 15th): Datang Power, CIMC, Beone Medicines, Midea, Weichai Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Datang Power, CIMC, Beone Medicines, Midea, Weichai Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)