External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) wholesale volume surged 37% YoY to 2.13mn units in Aug 2022, 1% higher than our prior projection.</li><li>Similar to Jul 2022, that figure made the best Aug wholesale volume in history and 13% higher than the second-best Aug sales occurred in 2017.</li><li>Retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 18% YoY to 1.89mn units, 2% lower than our prior forecast.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) wholesale volume surged 37% YoY to 2.13mn units in Aug 2022, 1% higher than our prior projection.Similar to Jul 2022, that figure made the best Aug wholesale volume in history and 13% higher than the second-best Aug sales occurred in 2017.Retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 18% YoY to 1.89mn units, 2% lower than our prior forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – What we worried earlier is partially priced in now

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. Meidong’s share price has fallen 65% since our downgrade on 1 Apr 2023.</li><li>We are of the view that its new-car gross margin probably hit bottom in 1H23, although recovery may take a while.</li><li>Porsche’s new-car gross margin appears to recover the fastest among traditional luxury brands and Meidong could benefit the most among its peers. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Upgrade to BUY. Meidong’s share price has fallen 65% since our downgrade on 1 Apr 2023.We are of the view that its new-car gross margin probably hit bottom in 1H23, although recovery may take a while.Porsche’s new-car gross margin appears to recover the fastest among traditional luxury brands and Meidong could benefit the most among its peers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – The Worst Is Over

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project Meidong’s 1H23E net profit to fall 23% YoY to RMB 266mn, consistent with our prior estimates of RMB 250-300mn made in Apr 2023.</li><li>We see gradual improvement in new-car margins in 2H23 but could be weaker than we had hoped earlier.</li><li>Therefore, we cut FY23E net profit by 29% to RMB 723mn. We still see valuation cap as industry headwinds persist..</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Maintain HOLD. We project Meidong’s 1H23E net profit to fall 23% YoY to RMB 266mn, consistent with our prior estimates of RMB 250-300mn made in Apr 2023.We see gradual improvement in new-car margins in 2H23 but could be weaker than we had hoped earlier.Therefore, we cut FY23E net profit by 29% to RMB 723mn. We still see valuation cap as industry headwinds persist..Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – 1H23E NP to Fall 23% YoY; Mixed Picture Ahead

<ul><li>We downgrade Meidong to HOLD from Buy despite its superb management execution, as we believe it still faces strong industry headwinds in the short term and may lack catalysts amid its high valuation.</li><li>We think the weak earnings in 2H22 could extend into 1H23E.</li><li>Key metrics in 2H22 trailing peers. Porsche’s new-car GPM at Meidong narrowed to a historical-low of 3.2% in 2H22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We downgrade Meidong to HOLD from Buy despite its superb management execution, as we believe it still faces strong industry headwinds in the short term and may lack catalysts amid its high valuation.We think the weak earnings in 2H22 could extend into 1H23E.Key metrics in 2H22 trailing peers. Porsche’s new-car GPM at Meidong narrowed to a historical-low of 3.2% in 2H22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – Lingering industry headwinds amid high valuation

<ul><li>We project Meidong’s 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY amid new-car margin weakness in 4Q22.</li><li>On the other hand, we expect StarChase and after-sales services to aid its profitability with FY23E net profit to surge 76% YoY on our estimates.</li><li>We believe Meidong is still best positioned among Chinese dealers with its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We project Meidong’s 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY amid new-car margin weakness in 4Q22.On the other hand, we expect StarChase and after-sales services to aid its profitability with FY23E net profit to surge 76% YoY on our estimates.We believe Meidong is still best positioned among Chinese dealers with its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – We expect 2H22E net profit to fall 23% YoY

China

China MeiDong Auto is a multi-franchise automobile dealership group operating in the People's Republic of China, focusing on luxury and mid-to-high-end brands such as Porsche, BMW, Lexus, and Toyota. The company's core activities include the sale of new passenger cars and spare parts, along with comprehensive after-sales services, value-added services, and used vehicle trading. Founded in 2003, its headquarters are located in Dongguan, China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)

China Auto Sector – What we worried earlier is partially priced in now

Similar to Jul 2022, that figure made the best Aug wholesale volume in history and 13% higher than the second-best Aug sales occurred in 2017.

CMB International