Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With many real estate developers in China reporting losses, and with greater clarity of their woes, there should be flow through to banks. </li>
<li>Generally, at the top line and in head line bad loans, this is simply not visible, so that one must look to notes to financial statements, other granular data.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-communications-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:659:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Communications Co H (3328 HK)</a> shows restructured loans up from RMB41bn to RMB61bn in just six months, with many China banks showing far higher loss loans</li>
</ul>


With many real estate developers in China reporting losses, and with greater clarity of their woes, there should be flow through to banks. 
Generally, at the top line and in head line bad loans, this is simply not visible, so that one must look to notes to financial statements, other granular data.

Bank Of Communications Co H (3328 HK) shows restructured loans up from RMB41bn to RMB61bn in just six months, with many China banks showing far higher loss loans


China Banks - Losses at Developers, Notes to Financials at Some Banks, More Clear than Headlines

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD353,626m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, BANK OF BEIJING, HAOHUA CHEMICAL SCIENCE &amp; TECHNOLOGY.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD353,626m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, BANK OF BEIJING, HAOHUA CHEMICAL SCIENCE &amp; TECHNOLOGY.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.8% as of Sep 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, consumer staples, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, financials, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement, Minsheng Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.8% as of Sep 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, consumer staples, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, financials, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement, Minsheng Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 4th): China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, China Life, Minimax, China Mobile, Sensetime, Kingdee.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, China Life, Minimax, China Mobile, Sensetime, Kingdee.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, Minimax

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>BYD / In Depth: Tesla’s Chinese rival hits accelerator on smart driving</li><li>Fraud /: Fugitive Chinese billionaire Guo Wengui convicted in United States</li><li>Bonuses /: Mainland financial firms’ Hong Kong units tell staff to repay bonuses</li></ul>

BYD / In Depth: Tesla’s Chinese rival hits accelerator on smart drivingFraud /: Fugitive Chinese billionaire Guo Wengui convicted in United StatesBonuses /: Mainland financial firms’ Hong Kong units tell staff to repay bonuses

CX Daily: Tesla’s Chinese Rival Hits Accelerator on Smart Driving 

China

China Merchants Bank is a joint-stock commercial bank offering comprehensive financial services, including corporate and retail banking, investment banking, wealth management, and insurance. It provides products such as deposits, loans, credit cards, and online banking services. The bank was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Merchants Bank (3968 HK)

China Banks - Losses at Developers, Notes to Financials at Some Banks, More Clear than Headlines

There are losses at China developers and some of this is new or losses are much higher. This is not fully reflected in headline figures at China...

Daniel Tabbush

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 4th): China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, Minimax

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Tesla’s Chinese Rival Hits Accelerator on Smart Driving

BYD / In Depth: Tesla’s Chinese rival hits accelerator on smart driving Once mocked by electric-car billionaire Elon Musk, BYD Co. Ltd. has become...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Banks - Losses at Developers, Notes to Financials at Some Banks, More Clear than Headlines

There are losses at China developers and some of this is new or losses are much higher. This is not fully reflected in headline figures at China...

Daniel Tabbush

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 4th): China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Wuxi Apptec, China Resources Land, Zijin Gold Intl, Yofc, Minimax

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 28th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Tesla’s Chinese Rival Hits Accelerator on Smart Driving

BYD / In Depth: Tesla’s Chinese rival hits accelerator on smart driving Once mocked by electric-car billionaire Elon Musk, BYD Co. Ltd. has become...

Caixin Global