Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

People's Insurance (PICC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>To build on our earlier work on the insurance space -- and as we search for beta-neutral relative value plays -- we look at PICC Group-H's SOTP valuation.</li>
<li>The group's life and health business has historically traded at a steep implicit discount to China Life-H, perhaps deservedly so. But price dislocations do occur from time to time.</li>
<li>We share our cheat sheet on how we approach these opportunities, which are often good for a quick 10% trade. As usual, we highlight the potential risks as well.</li>
</ul>


To build on our earlier work on the insurance space -- and as we search for beta-neutral relative value plays -- we look at PICC Group-H's SOTP valuation.
The group's life and health business has historically traded at a steep implicit discount to China Life-H, perhaps deservedly so. But price dislocations do occur from time to time.
We share our cheat sheet on how we approach these opportunities, which are often good for a quick 10% trade. As usual, we highlight the potential risks as well.


PICC Group / PICC P&C Pair: A Cheat Sheet to Improve Your Batting Average

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Feb 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 6.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Feb 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 6.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 3rd): Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.


Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. </li>
<li>Financial, information technology and industrials led the inflow in Jan.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. 
Financial, information technology and industrials led the inflow in Jan.
We highlight inflows into CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $21bn Inflows in January

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)

PICC Group / PICC P&C Pair: A Cheat Sheet to Improve Your Batting Average

PICC Group / PICC P&C are an interesting pair that often provides investors with short windows for relative value trades. From the group's SOTP...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 3rd): Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th and highlight short interest changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $21bn Inflows in January

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for January and highlight flows for CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)