Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.</li>
<li>At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.
At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.</li>
<li>Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. </li>
<li>Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.
Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. 
Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.


Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Podcast by CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management, In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Podcast by CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management

The CEO of the largest single investor in the world, Norges Bank Investment Management, interviews leaders of some of the largest companies in the world. You will get to know the leader, their strategy, leadership principles, and much more. Hosted on Acast. See https://www.acast.com/privacy-policy for more information.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technology plays a significant role in connecting people during both good and bad times, with the telecom sector being crucial in providing connectivity</li><li>The main trends in the sector currently include the fast adoption of AI, which is increasing traffic volume and creating new use cases</li><li>One of the main challenges in the telecom industry is the need for consolidation due to the capital-intensive nature of the business and the importance of scale in operations</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Technology plays a significant role in connecting people during both good and bad times, with the telecom sector being crucial in providing connectivityThe main trends in the sector currently include the fast adoption of AI, which is increasing traffic volume and creating new use casesOne of the main challenges in the telecom industry is the need for consolidation due to the capital-intensive nature of the business and the importance of scale in operationsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

<ul>
<li>After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.</li>
<li>It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.</li>
<li>Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.</li>
</ul>


After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.
It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.
Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.


Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July.  The portfolio achieved these results while increasing its Sharpe ratio and reducing beta and volatility.</li>
<li>The shift to the healthcare and materials sectors since Liberation Day in April has aided the portfolio's performance.  The consumer staples sector lost momentum, and we exited some positions there.</li>
<li>The HSI now trades above its long-term resistance levels for the first time since 2022.  This signals a good time to rotate back into market leaders in tech.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July.  The portfolio achieved these results while increasing its Sharpe ratio and reducing beta and volatility.
The shift to the healthcare and materials sectors since Liberation Day in April has aided the portfolio's performance.  The consumer staples sector lost momentum, and we exited some positions there.
The HSI now trades above its long-term resistance levels for the first time since 2022.  This signals a good time to rotate back into market leaders in tech.


Hong Kong

China Mobile is a Chinese state-owned telecommunications company that provides mobile voice, data, and multimedia services through its extensive nationwide network across mainland China and Hong Kong. It also offers fixed-line broadband, enterprise solutions, and cloud services, leveraging advanced 4G and 5G technologies. The company was incorporated in Hong Kong on September 3, 1997, and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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China Mobile (941 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

The telecom industry has undergone significant transformation with the adoption of mobile technology, big data, and AI, presenting challenges such...

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (July 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July. The portfolio achieved these results while increasing...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

​Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

The telecom industry has undergone significant transformation with the adoption of mobile technology, big data, and AI, presenting challenges such...

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

​FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (July 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July. The portfolio achieved these results while increasing...

David Mudd

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...