Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech / Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech (600111 CH)

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.</li>
<li>4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.
4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.
The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Commodities

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index / Commodities

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index (MVREMX INDEX)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index

<ul>
<li>NdPr is the key rare earth signal because it links directly to magnets, EVs, robotics, wind and defence demand.</li>
<li>China’s dominance in refining, quotas and magnet production allows it to tighten and stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild alternative ecosystems.</li>
<li>FOB export premiums and policy-driven procurement show rising geoeconomic stress, but sustained scarcity still requires durable ex-China downstream profitability.</li>
</ul>


NdPr is the key rare earth signal because it links directly to magnets, EVs, robotics, wind and defence demand.
China’s dominance in refining, quotas and magnet production allows it to tighten and stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild alternative ecosystems.
FOB export premiums and policy-driven procurement show rising geoeconomic stress, but sustained scarcity still requires durable ex-China downstream profitability.


Rare Earths: China Still Scales Faster Than the West Can Rebuild

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CNRE delivered strong H1 results and downstream momentum, but its valuation remains elevated even after the pullback.</li>
<li>Shenghe offers superior risk-adjusted value with cleaner pricing leverage and materially lower multiples.</li>
<li>Lynas still trades on geopolitical scarcity, not earnings strength, making it suitable only as strategic optionality.</li>
</ul>


CNRE delivered strong H1 results and downstream momentum, but its valuation remains elevated even after the pullback.
Shenghe offers superior risk-adjusted value with cleaner pricing leverage and materially lower multiples.
Lynas still trades on geopolitical scarcity, not earnings strength, making it suitable only as strategic optionality.


Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Renewables / Analysis: Chinese renewables firms turn to new markets, models as trade barriers rise</li><li>Wahaha /In Depth: How Wahaha founder’s daughter took control amid a family squabble</li><li>Law /In Depth: China mulls changes to grassroots governance</li></ul>

Renewables / Analysis: Chinese renewables firms turn to new markets, models as trade barriers riseWahaha /In Depth: How Wahaha founder’s daughter took control amid a family squabbleLaw /In Depth: China mulls changes to grassroots governance

CX Daily: Chinese Renewables Firms Turn to New Markets, Models as Trade Barriers Rise 

<ul>
<li>Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.</li>
<li>Top picks: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lloyds-metals-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15467:1" rel="noopener">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a> </li>
<li>Top shorts: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.
Top picks: Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN), Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN) , Paladin Energy (PDN AU) 
Top shorts: Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) , Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) 


Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

China

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech Co. Ltd. is the consolidation of mining, smelting, separation and utilization companies in the northern region of Inner Mongolia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech (600111 CH)

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the index in Dec. The index committee has used discretion in the past and that is likely to continue. One-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Rare Earths: China Still Scales Faster Than the West Can Rebuild

China still controls rare earth refining, quotas and magnets, allowing it to stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild independent capacity.

Duncan Chan

Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

Rahul Jain

CX Daily: Chinese Renewables Firms Turn to New Markets, Models as Trade Barriers Rise

TOP STORIES Renewables / Analysis: Chinese renewables firms turn to new markets, models as trade barriers rise Faced with increasing tariffs and...

Caixin Global

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the index in Dec. The index committee has used discretion in the past and that is likely to continue. One-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Rare Earths: China Still Scales Faster Than the West Can Rebuild

China still controls rare earth refining, quotas and magnets, allowing it to stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild independent capacity.

Duncan Chan

Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

​CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

Rahul Jain

CX Daily: Chinese Renewables Firms Turn to New Markets, Models as Trade Barriers Rise

TOP STORIES Renewables / Analysis: Chinese renewables firms turn to new markets, models as trade barriers rise Faced with increasing tariffs and...

Caixin Global

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

​Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...