Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage Tech, Kingboard Laminates, Minimax, Smic.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage Tech, Kingboard Laminates, Minimax, Smic.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage Tech, Kingboard Laminates, Minimax, Smic

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Early indications for the Golden Week suggest new home sales in the 18 major cities (with consistent data we track) deteriorated further on multiple metrics</li>
<li>There might be some data distortions due to delays in reporting over the holiday </li>
<li>For the full picture, we would wait another 1-2 weeks and look at the Golden Week and 1-2 weeks surrounding it</li>
</ul>


Early indications for the Golden Week suggest new home sales in the 18 major cities (with consistent data we track) deteriorated further on multiple metrics
There might be some data distortions due to delays in reporting over the holiday 
For the full picture, we would wait another 1-2 weeks and look at the Golden Week and 1-2 weeks surrounding it


China Property: Golden Week - Early Data Suggests Weaker New Home Sales

<ul>
<li>We hosted a Real Estate Foresight Webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy easing wave</li>
<li>Can we see the impact of the policy easing? How much of further stimulus to expect? What will be the 'next normal' for new home sales after the downturn?</li>
<li>A quick poll of the participants (experienced professionals in China property) showed a 100% consensus that more easing will be needed to trigger a rebound in new home sales</li>
</ul>


We hosted a Real Estate Foresight Webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy easing wave
Can we see the impact of the policy easing? How much of further stimulus to expect? What will be the 'next normal' for new home sales after the downturn?
A quick poll of the participants (experienced professionals in China property) showed a 100% consensus that more easing will be needed to trigger a rebound in new home sales


China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we explored the latest interim results published by key Chinese developers, and reviewed government policies</li>
<li>SOE developers outperformed, while private developers struggled.  Latest policies, including adjustment of mortgage rate and down-payment ratios, are mainly demand side policies and will take time to implement</li>
<li>The latest share price rebound is largely driven by speculation-driven Chinese investors. We think the rally is not sustainable unless we see immediate improvement of the distress situation of developers.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we explored the latest interim results published by key Chinese developers, and reviewed government policies
SOE developers outperformed, while private developers struggled.  Latest policies, including adjustment of mortgage rate and down-payment ratios, are mainly demand side policies and will take time to implement
The latest share price rebound is largely driven by speculation-driven Chinese investors. We think the rally is not sustainable unless we see immediate improvement of the distress situation of developers.


China Property: Latest View After Interim Result, Government Policy and the Stock Market Rebound

<ul>
<li>Property agents say more government support is needed.  But historically timing and scale of policy is hard to predict</li>
<li>POEs are still under pressure with bond default.  Latest case is KWG missing debt payment and potential cross default</li>
<li>Sector's valuation is almost at all time low and big part of risk is priced in.  But stocks can stay cheap forever.  Monitor the HY bond market as key indicator.</li>
</ul>


Property agents say more government support is needed.  But historically timing and scale of policy is hard to predict
POEs are still under pressure with bond default.  Latest case is KWG missing debt payment and potential cross default
Sector's valuation is almost at all time low and big part of risk is priced in.  But stocks can stay cheap forever.  Monitor the HY bond market as key indicator.


Short Note: China Prop - When Is a Good Time to Revisit the Sector? Still No Light at the Tunnel

Hong Kong

China Resources Land is a leading property developer, investor, and operator focused on urban construction and operation in Mainland China. The company develops and manages residential properties, shopping malls, offices, and hotels, and also engages in asset-light management and eco-system elementary businesses. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Resources Land (1109 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage Tech, Kingboard Laminates, Minimax, Smic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 14th and highlight short interest changes in Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Property: Golden Week - Early Data Suggests Weaker New Home Sales

China Property: Early indications show that new home sales in major cities during Golden Week have worsened on multiple metrics, but data...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Real Estate Foresight hosted a webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy-easing wave. Watch the...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Latest View After Interim Result, Government Policy and the Stock Market Rebound

We discussed the latest results by Chinese developers, the gov policy as well as the stock market rebound. The flows are mainly speculation...

Jacob Cheng

Short Note: China Prop - When Is a Good Time to Revisit the Sector? Still No Light at the Tunnel

Short Note - when should we re-visit China property sector? There seems to be no light at the tunnel. POEs continue to suffer while SOEs shine. ...

Jacob Cheng

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage Tech, Kingboard Laminates, Minimax, Smic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 14th and highlight short interest changes in Jd.Com, Ntes, Montage...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Property: Golden Week - Early Data Suggests Weaker New Home Sales

​China Property: Early indications show that new home sales in major cities during Golden Week have worsened on multiple metrics, but data...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - And The Sum Of All Tiers [Webinar Presentation Video]

Real Estate Foresight hosted a webinar on Sep 20, with our latest take on China's housing markets after the recent policy-easing wave. Watch the...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Latest View After Interim Result, Government Policy and the Stock Market Rebound

We discussed the latest results by Chinese developers, the gov policy as well as the stock market rebound. The flows are mainly speculation...

Jacob Cheng

Short Note: China Prop - When Is a Good Time to Revisit the Sector? Still No Light at the Tunnel

Short Note - when should we re-visit China property sector? There seems to be no light at the tunnel. POEs continue to suffer while SOEs shine. ...

Jacob Cheng

China Property: Early indications show that new home sales in major cities during Golden Week have worsened on multiple metrics, but data...