IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)</a>’s property management unit, has begun pre-marketing a US$2.0 billion HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/onewo-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80058" rel="noopener">Onewo IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on the organic growth rates half of the reported rates, slow revenue diversification, lacklustre gross margin and declining contract liabilities ratio.</li>
</ul>



Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK), China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)’s property management unit, has begun pre-marketing a US$2.0 billion HKEx IPO.
In Onewo IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on the organic growth rates half of the reported rates, slow revenue diversification, lacklustre gross margin and declining contract liabilities ratio.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26076:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (000002 CH)</a>’s property management unit, has begun pre-marketing a US$2.0 billion HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>Onewo ranked first in China’s property management services market as measured by revenue from basic property management services, with a market share of 4.28% in 2021.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on the solid financial health of the parent, strong growth, growth runway from undelivered GFA, share gains, renewal rates and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK), China Vanke (000002 CH)’s property management unit, has begun pre-marketing a US$2.0 billion HKEx IPO.
Onewo ranked first in China’s property management services market as measured by revenue from basic property management services, with a market share of 4.28% in 2021.
The key elements of the bull case rest on the solid financial health of the parent, strong growth, growth runway from undelivered GFA, share gains, renewal rates and cash generation.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Onewo Space-Tech (OST) aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Onewo Space-Tech (OST) aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK).
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the Largest and Still Growing Fast

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Currently at 69 constituents, it is unlikely that we reach 80 member by year end. Hang Seng Indexes is finding it tough to reach the target by excluding unprofitable companies.</li>
<li>We list 11 stocks that could be added to the index in September - with one-way turnover just over 5%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>There are a few potential inclusions where short interest is over 5% of the free float. These stocks could see short covering ahead of announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Currently at 69 constituents, it is unlikely that we reach 80 member by year end. Hang Seng Indexes is finding it tough to reach the target by excluding unprofitable companies.
We list 11 stocks that could be added to the index in September - with one-way turnover just over 5%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
There are a few potential inclusions where short interest is over 5% of the free float. These stocks could see short covering ahead of announcement of the changes.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Finding the Balance

Orient Overseas (International) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

China

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services provides property management and commercial operational services across the People's Republic of China. The company manages a diversified portfolio including residential communities, shopping malls, and office buildings, offering services such as pre-opening management, security, cleaning, and community lifestyle services. It is headquartered in Shenzhen, China, and was founded in 1994.

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)

Onewo IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on the organic growth rates half of the reported rates, slow revenue diversification, lacklustre gross...

Arun George

Onewo IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on the solid financial health of the parent, strong growth, growth runway from undelivered GFA, share gains,...

Arun George

Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the Largest and Still Growing Fast

Onewo Space-Tech aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co...

Sumeet Singh

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Finding the Balance

There could be up to 5 inclusions as Hang Seng works its way up to 80 index members. We highlight the probable inclusions and find that some of...

Brian Freitas

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)