HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical (RTP HK)

<ul>
<li>As a digital circulation platform, Rong Tai’s business essence is a “middleman”, with limited added value and a naturally lower profit margin than that of R&amp;D-oriented pharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>Rong Tai’s profitability is disappointing. It’s difficult for the Company to bring decent returns to investors. This actually reflects from the side the flaws of Rong Tai's business model/channel resources.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation is RMB1.6bn, lower than post-money valuation after Series B Financing(RMB2.7bn). If market sentiment is pessimistic at the time of IPO, there could be big downward space for valuation.</li>
</ul>


As a digital circulation platform, Rong Tai’s business essence is a “middleman”, with limited added value and a naturally lower profit margin than that of R&amp;D-oriented pharmaceutical companies.
Rong Tai’s profitability is disappointing. It’s difficult for the Company to bring decent returns to investors. This actually reflects from the side the flaws of Rong Tai's business model/channel resources.
Reasonable valuation is RMB1.6bn, lower than post-money valuation after Series B Financing(RMB2.7bn). If market sentiment is pessimistic at the time of IPO, there could be big downward space for valuation.


Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

United Laboratories / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-united-laboratories-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16074:1" rel="noopener">The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. </li>
<li>The company intends to use about 60% of the proceeds to build production capacity and expand its international business, with the rest to be used for R&amp;D purposes.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK) is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. 
The company intends to use about 60% of the proceeds to build production capacity and expand its international business, with the rest to be used for R&amp;D purposes.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical (1558 HK)

<ul>
<li>The precondition for Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatisation of HEC Pharma was satisfied on 27 June. The offer is 0.263614 new offeror H Share per HEC share and HK$1.50 special dividend.</li>
<li>The vote on 21 July is low-risk as no independent H Shareholder comes close to the blocking stake, which is 4.61% of the outstanding shares (6.20% of H Shares).</li>
<li>The appraised value is HK$19.36, but this is a finger-in-the-sky valuation as it marginally increased from HK$19.30 despite the offeror’s weak 2024 results and limited progress on commercialising its pipeline.</li>
</ul>


The precondition for Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatisation of HEC Pharma was satisfied on 27 June. The offer is 0.263614 new offeror H Share per HEC share and HK$1.50 special dividend.
The vote on 21 July is low-risk as no independent H Shareholder comes close to the blocking stake, which is 4.61% of the outstanding shares (6.20% of H Shares).
The appraised value is HK$19.36, but this is a finger-in-the-sky valuation as it marginally increased from HK$19.30 despite the offeror’s weak 2024 results and limited progress on commercialising its pipeline.


HEC ChangJiang Pharma (1558 HK): Finally a Vote, but the Offer Value Is Wrapped in Uncertainty

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in June 2025.</li>
<li>The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 16th May 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in June 2025.
The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 16th May 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Jun25: Beigene Is Our Top Pick

<ul>
<li>The 11th national VBP is expected to start in 2025H1. Companies such as Kelun, CSPC, Qilu Pharmaceuticals, Fosun Pharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22928:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Pharmaceutical</a>, etc. are expected to be affected the most.</li>
<li>It is estimated that the entire market of PD-1/L1 x VEGF BsAb is approximately US$20-30 billion. AK112 is expected to seize about 40%-50% of the market or US$8-15 billion.</li>
<li>MIXUE's IPO debut was stellar. Conservative investors can considering taking profits as risk of share price corrections has increased. Radical investors can choose to bet on valuation exceeding Nongfu Spring.</li>
</ul>


The 11th national VBP is expected to start in 2025H1. Companies such as Kelun, CSPC, Qilu Pharmaceuticals, Fosun Pharma, China Resources Pharmaceutical, etc. are expected to be affected the most.
It is estimated that the entire market of PD-1/L1 x VEGF BsAb is approximately US$20-30 billion. AK112 is expected to seize about 40%-50% of the market or US$8-15 billion.
MIXUE's IPO debut was stellar. Conservative investors can considering taking profits as risk of share price corrections has increased. Radical investors can choose to bet on valuation exceeding Nongfu Spring.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.9) - 11th VBP, PD-1/VEGF BsAb Outlook, MIXUE's Stunning IPO Debut

Hong Kong

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group is an integrated pharmaceutical company engaged in the research and development, manufacture, distribution, and retail of pharmaceutical and healthcare products. Its offerings include chemical drugs, traditional Chinese medicine, biological drugs, and nutritional products, covering various therapeutic areas. The company also provides warehousing, logistics, and supply chain solutions. It was formally established in 2007 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group (3320 HK)

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China Resources Pharmaceutical Group (3320 HK)

Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

United Laboratories International Holdings is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

HEC ChangJiang Pharma (1558 HK): Finally a Vote, but the Offer Value Is Wrapped in Uncertainty

The vote is low-risk. However, the appraised value is a finger-in-the-sky valuation, and perplexingly, marginally increased despite the offeror's...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Jun25: Beigene Is Our Top Pick

We expect the ADDs/DELs and indicative weights for the Hang Seng Index to be publicly confirmed on Friday 16th May 2025. This is a good time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.9) - 11th VBP, PD-1/VEGF BsAb Outlook, MIXUE's Stunning IPO Debut

The 11th national VBP in 2025H1 will impact big pharma companies. AK112 would seize 40%-50% of the PD-1/VEGF BsAb market. MIXUE's IPO debut was...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

​Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

United Laboratories International Holdings is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

HEC ChangJiang Pharma (1558 HK): Finally a Vote, but the Offer Value Is Wrapped in Uncertainty

The vote is low-risk. However, the appraised value is a finger-in-the-sky valuation, and perplexingly, marginally increased despite the offeror's...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Jun25: Beigene Is Our Top Pick

We expect the ADDs/DELs and indicative weights for the Hang Seng Index to be publicly confirmed on Friday 16th May 2025. This is a good time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.9) - 11th VBP, PD-1/VEGF BsAb Outlook, MIXUE's Stunning IPO Debut

​The 11th national VBP in 2025H1 will impact big pharma companies. AK112 would seize 40%-50% of the PD-1/VEGF BsAb market. MIXUE's IPO debut was...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...

The 11th national VBP in 2025H1 will impact big pharma companies. AK112 would seize 40%-50% of the PD-1/VEGF BsAb market. MIXUE's IPO debut was...