APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Duty Free (CDF) is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), it had 86.0% market share by retail sales revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2021.</li>
<li>With signs emerging of China finally looking to relax its COVID restrictions over the coming months, this will lead to a sales revival at its airports.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Duty Free (CDF) is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), it had 86.0% market share by retail sales revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2021.
With signs emerging of China finally looking to relax its COVID restrictions over the coming months, this will lead to a sales revival at its airports.


2023 High Conviction: China Tourism Duty Free - All Ready for the Next Travel Wave

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Brilliance China Automotive / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.</li>
<li>Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.
Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.


Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

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China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)

2023 High Conviction: China Tourism Duty Free - All Ready for the Next Travel Wave

China Tourism Duty Free is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid...

Ethan Aw

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

We see 3 inclusions for the index in Dec, and then 26 adds/16 deletions in March. Following the March rebal, we see 22 adds/37 deletions for Stock...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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