Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The common narrative today is how the deteriorating demographics in China will have a negative impact on the housing demand</li>
<li>The official aggregate figures indicate the same with the population aging, birth, and marriage data</li>
<li>The twist to this narrative is that in the near term, the situation for the non-rural population growth looks quite different from the overall figures
</li>
</ul>


The common narrative today is how the deteriorating demographics in China will have a negative impact on the housing demand
The official aggregate figures indicate the same with the population aging, birth, and marriage data
The twist to this narrative is that in the near term, the situation for the non-rural population growth looks quite different from the overall figures



China Housing - Demand-Supply Fundamentals Part #2: The “Demographic Twist"

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China’s Charity Law revision aims to make it easier for NGOs to get involved</li><li>Experts quash fears of greater chance of China quake after Turkey</li><li>China’s local governments go on hiring spree to spur growth</li></ul>

China’s Charity Law revision aims to make it easier for NGOs to get involvedExperts quash fears of greater chance of China quake after TurkeyChina’s local governments go on hiring spree to spur growth

CX Daily: China’s Charity Law Revision Aims to Make It Easier for NGOs to Get Involved

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.7% as of Aug 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict, Beone Medicines.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.7% as of Aug 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict, Beone Medicines.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 7th): Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict

<ul><li>In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its mark</li><li>China eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaul</li><li>Xi to visit Saudi Arabia to boost relations in the Middle East</li></ul>

In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its markChina eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaulXi to visit Saudi Arabia to boost relations in the Middle East

CX Daily: Beijing Stock Exchange Fights to Make Its Mark

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s latest helping hand to the property market is expected to benefit state-owned and quality private developers.</li><li>Allowing developers to raise money on the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong stock markets could help firms get their hands on fresh cash and acquire assets from their peers that have defaulted</li><li>The new measures, announced by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) in a Monday Q&amp;A, allow such share sales for purposes including debt repayments and acquisitions</li></ul>

China’s latest helping hand to the property market is expected to benefit state-owned and quality private developers.Allowing developers to raise money on the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong stock markets could help firms get their hands on fresh cash and acquire assets from their peers that have defaultedThe new measures, announced by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) in a Monday Q&amp;A, allow such share sales for purposes including debt repayments and acquisitions

China’s Property Support Seen as Helping State-Owned, Quality Private Developers

China

China Vanke Co., Ltd. operates real estate development businesses.  The Company provides housing renovation, housing loans, real estate brokerage, and other businesses. China Vanke also operates logistics, material supply, and other businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Vanke (000002 CH)

China Housing - Demand-Supply Fundamentals Part #2: The “Demographic Twist"

The common saying goes "China will get old before it gets rich", but for the market for new homes, there are some important twists to the...

Robert Ciemniak

CX Daily: China’s Charity Law Revision Aims to Make It Easier for NGOs to Get Involved

China’s Charity Law revision aims to make it easier for NGOs to get involved. Experts quash fears of greater chance of China quake after Turkey

Caixin Global

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 7th): Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Beijing Stock Exchange Fights to Make Its Mark

In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its mark. China eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaul

Caixin Global

China’s Property Support Seen as Helping State-Owned, Quality Private Developers

China’s latest helping hand to the property market is expected to benefit state-owned and quality private developers. Allowing developers to raise...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)