External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

Equity Bottom-Up

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We project Yongda’s 2H23E net profit to fall 53% HoH to RMB189mn amid a deteriorating new-car GPM.</li><li>We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models to traditional luxury brands.</li><li>Yongda’s shares are now trading at 5x FY24E P/E, which is undemanding given a dividend yield of 8%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Yongda’s 2H23E net profit to fall 53% HoH to RMB189mn amid a deteriorating new-car GPM.We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models to traditional luxury brands.Yongda’s shares are now trading at 5x FY24E P/E, which is undemanding given a dividend yield of 8%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - New Car GPM May Be Hurt More than Expected

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.</li><li>Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

<ul><li>We summarize the Dec 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Dec 2023, in line with our prior expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Dec 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Dec 2023, in line with our prior expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with More than Half Brands’ Discounts Reaching All-Time Highs

China

China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd. retails passenger vehicles. The Company sells new and used vehicles and offers automobile rentals. China Yongda Automobiles also provides service.

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

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China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

Discounts at dealers usually narrow after the CNY amid more new model launches, which did not occur in 2022 and 2023, as price war outweighed new...

CMB International

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - New Car GPM May Be Hurt More than Expected

We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models...

CMB International

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with More than Half Brands’ Discounts Reaching All-Time Highs

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec...

CMB International

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