IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Shengmu Organic Milk / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30 June, the IFA opined that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-modern-dairy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6785:1" rel="noopener">China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)</a>’s mandatory conditional cash offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a> at HK$0.35 was fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>However, the independent directors' recommendation was not unanimous, with Mr Wang Liyan (Independent non-executive director) dissenting. The first closing date is 21 July. </li>
<li>While meeting the 50% minimum acceptance condition has been aided by the significant derating of peers over the last month, it remains challenging. </li>
</ul>


On 30 June, the IFA opined that China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)’s mandatory conditional cash offer for China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK) at HK$0.35 was fair and reasonable. 
However, the independent directors' recommendation was not unanimous, with Mr Wang Liyan (Independent non-executive director) dissenting. The first closing date is 21 July. 
While meeting the 50% minimum acceptance condition has been aided by the significant derating of peers over the last month, it remains challenging. 


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 29th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 29th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land, AIA.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 29th): Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-modern-dairy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6785:1" rel="noopener">China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)</a> has received SAMR approval for its acquisition of a 1.28% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a>. Completion will occur by 22 May.</li>
<li>Completion will trigger a mandatory cash offer at HK$0.35, conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which remains an issue, particularly given the significant re-rating of peers. </li>
<li>Nevertheless, in the case of a deal break, the downside is low, as the peer-adjusted undisturbed price is HK$0.37, which is above the last close of HK$0.32.</li>
</ul>



China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) has received SAMR approval for its acquisition of a 1.28% stake in China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK). Completion will occur by 22 May.
Completion will trigger a mandatory cash offer at HK$0.35, conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which remains an issue, particularly given the significant re-rating of peers. 
Nevertheless, in the case of a deal break, the downside is low, as the peer-adjusted undisturbed price is HK$0.37, which is above the last close of HK$0.32.


China Shengmu (1432 HK): SAMR Approval Finally Secured; Next Up, the 50% Min Acceptance Condition

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 23rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC, Tencent, Innovent Biologics, Zijin Mining, China Hongqiao, Ubtech Robotics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 23rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC, Tencent, Innovent Biologics, Zijin Mining, China Hongqiao, Ubtech Robotics.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 23rd): China Mobile, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics, Ck Infrastructure.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics, Ck Infrastructure.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 2nd): China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics

China

Youran Dairy is an integrated provider of products and services in China's upstream dairy industry. The company's core activities include raw milk production, offering various specialty raw milk types, and providing comprehensive ruminant farming solutions such as concentrated feed, forage, breeding products, and other farm supplies. It was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hohhot, China.

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Youran Dairy (9858 HK)

China Shengmu (1432 HK): Touch and Go

CCASS movements show that 536,097,305 shares (6.40% of outstanding shares) have been tendered today, which exactly matches EQT’s shareholding (the...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 29th): Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Shengmu (1432 HK): SAMR Approval Finally Secured; Next Up, the 50% Min Acceptance Condition

The 50% minimum acceptance condition remains an issue, particularly given peers' significant re-rating. Nonetheless, the downside on a deal break...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 23rd): China Mobile, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile (941 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Xiaomi (1810...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 2nd): China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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