Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ChipMOS Margin Rebound Sputters, Guidance Implies Margins Could Remain Under Pressure</li>
<li>Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance</li>
<li>Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance</li>
</ul>


ChipMOS Margin Rebound Sputters, Guidance Implies Margins Could Remain Under Pressure
Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance
Valuation Appears Precarious In Light of Latest Results and Guidance


ChipMOS: Valuation at Risk Given Latest Results; Short Interest Shows Sentiment Has Room to Shift

<ul>
<li>With the street relatively bearish on the stock and the display market overall, we had a call with ChipMOS management to learn if they can prove bears wrong.</li>
<li>We identify seven supportive factors that can help the company defy industry weakness.</li>
<li>Valuation has priced in a lot of negativity, we see downside support at 1x PBV and the stock appears inexpensive. Dual-listings are trading near parity.</li>
</ul>


With the street relatively bearish on the stock and the display market overall, we had a call with ChipMOS management to learn if they can prove bears wrong.
We identify seven supportive factors that can help the company defy industry weakness.
Valuation has priced in a lot of negativity, we see downside support at 1x PBV and the stock appears inexpensive. Dual-listings are trading near parity.


Display Industry Doom and Gloom? Management Call with ChipMOS

<ul>
<li>We had a call with ChipMOS management about their latest long-term R&amp;D efforts and drivers. </li>
<li>We see many of the company's key clients' businesses turning a corner, hence see these developments likely to benefit ChipMOS.</li>
<li>The company will be reporting earnings on August 3rd, we have an Outperform rating for the shares. Could see some continued margin weakness, however we believe forward outlook is improving.</li>
</ul>


We had a call with ChipMOS management about their latest long-term R&amp;D efforts and drivers. 
We see many of the company's key clients' businesses turning a corner, hence see these developments likely to benefit ChipMOS.
The company will be reporting earnings on August 3rd, we have an Outperform rating for the shares. Could see some continued margin weakness, however we believe forward outlook is improving.


ChipMOS: Results Ahead & Key Clients for Display and Memory Signal a Turn Around Is Happening

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. </li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. </li>
</ul>


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. 
Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan companies are required to report revenue on a monthly basis. These updates can help us understand how a given quarter is progressing &amp; predict quarterly earnings ahead of time</li>
<li>Initially we focused on MoM %  increase/decrease. This is useful, but one needs to account for anomalies such as seasonality and potential non-linearity month to month within a given quarter </li>
<li>We now also provide the monthly YoY revenue comparison. This eliminates anomalies due to both seasonality and intra-quarter non-linearity, enabling a clearer perspective on where the industry is at. </li>
</ul>


Taiwan companies are required to report revenue on a monthly basis. These updates can help us understand how a given quarter is progressing &amp; predict quarterly earnings ahead of time
Initially we focused on MoM %  increase/decrease. This is useful, but one needs to account for anomalies such as seasonality and potential non-linearity month to month within a given quarter 
We now also provide the monthly YoY revenue comparison. This eliminates anomalies due to both seasonality and intra-quarter non-linearity, enabling a clearer perspective on where the industry is at. 


Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

Taiwan

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. offers semiconductor testing and packaging solutions to companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. The Company provides a broad range of back-end testing services for high density memory, mixed-signal and liquid crystal display.

Chipmos Technologies (8150 TT)

ChipMOS: Valuation at Risk Given Latest Results; Short Interest Shows Sentiment Has Room to Shift

ChipMOS isn't cheap given a sputtering margin rebound. The market still has significant room to shift towards negative sentiment.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Display Industry Doom and Gloom? Management Call with ChipMOS

With the street relatively bearish on the stock, we had a call with management to assess the company's ability to perform through an industry down...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ChipMOS: Results Ahead & Key Clients for Display and Memory Signal a Turn Around Is Happening

We had a call with ChipMOS management about the company's latest long-term research efforts and drivers. The shares appear well supported into an...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

Tracking monthly revenues of Taiwan semiconductor companies helps us identify key trends mid-quarter. Initially we tracked the MoM revenue changes....

William Keating

ChipMOS: Valuation at Risk Given Latest Results; Short Interest Shows Sentiment Has Room to Shift

ChipMOS isn't cheap given a sputtering margin rebound. The market still has significant room to shift towards negative sentiment.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Display Industry Doom and Gloom? Management Call with ChipMOS

With the street relatively bearish on the stock, we had a call with management to assess the company's ability to perform through an industry down...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ChipMOS: Results Ahead & Key Clients for Display and Memory Signal a Turn Around Is Happening

We had a call with ChipMOS management about the company's latest long-term research efforts and drivers. The shares appear well supported into an...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

​TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

Tracking monthly revenues of Taiwan semiconductor companies helps us identify key trends mid-quarter. Initially we tracked the MoM revenue changes....

William Keating

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...