IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. </li>
<li>The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.</li>
<li>While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. 
The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.
While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.


WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is set to launch its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million). </li>
<li>We last discussed the IPO in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-updated-prospectus-solid-1h22-unchanged-and-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79052" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range</a></strong></em>.</li>
<li>Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. The IPO price range is unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is set to launch its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million). 
We last discussed the IPO in WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range.
Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. The IPO price range is unattractive.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seojin-system-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24032:1" rel="noopener">Seojin System (178320)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal (064260)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16045:1" rel="noopener">Kcp (060250)</a> in the Internet Index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in BBIG.</li>
<li>Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> is up 12% while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> has dropped 17%.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.

Intellian Technologies (189300) and Seojin System (178320) replace Danal (064260) and Kcp (060250) in the Internet Index, while KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) replaces AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in BBIG.
Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) is up 12% while AfreecaTV (067160 KS) has dropped 17%.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has released an updated prospectus for its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million).  </li>
<li>The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results and a marginal increase in the syndicate’s intrinsic value. Revenue growth and margin improved in 1Q22. </li>
<li>The IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO price range remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has released an updated prospectus for its IPO of KRW900 billion (US$692 million).  
The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results and a marginal increase in the syndicate’s intrinsic value. Revenue growth and margin improved in 1Q22. 
The IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains unchanged. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO price range remains unattractive.


WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. The timing is to complete the IPO in 2023. </li>
<li>After this news came out, Foosung's share price has declined by 17%. Since its share price peak in May 2022, its share price has declined by 42%. </li>
<li>Recent share price decline has presented a more attractive investment opportunity.  Foosung is currently trading at EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.7x in 2022, which is much lower than 20.9x in 2021.</li>
</ul>


On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. The timing is to complete the IPO in 2023. 
After this news came out, Foosung's share price has declined by 17%. Since its share price peak in May 2022, its share price has declined by 42%. 
Recent share price decline has presented a more attractive investment opportunity.  Foosung is currently trading at EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.7x in 2022, which is much lower than 20.9x in 2021.


Foosung: Excessive Decline in Share Price Due to Spin-Off & IPO of Its Foosung Global Subsidiary

South Korea

Chunbo Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells chemical materials. The Company produces and sells display, semiconductor, and secondary battery application materials, as well as pharmaceutical intermediates and specialty chemicals. Chunbo markets its products worldwide.

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Chunbo (278280 KS)

WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts....

Arun George

WCP IPO: Valuation Uncompelling

Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains...

Arun George

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

There is one change to the Game & BBIG index and two changes to the Internet index. KMW has the largest passive inflow and impact while AfreecaTV...

Brian Freitas

WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range

The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results but an unchanged IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts....

Arun George

WCP IPO: Valuation Uncompelling

Although the de-rating of peer multiples resulted in a decline in the syndicate's intrinsic value, the IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000 remains...

Arun George

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

There is one change to the Game & BBIG index and two changes to the Internet index. KMW has the largest passive inflow and impact while AfreecaTV...

Brian Freitas

WCP IPO: Updated Prospectus, Solid 1H22, Unchanged and Unattractive Price Range

The updated prospectus discloses 1H22 results but an unchanged IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. While the fundamentals are sound, the IPO...

Arun George

Foosung: Excessive Decline in Share Price Due to Spin-Off & IPO of Its Foosung Global Subsidiary

On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. Recent share price decline has...

Douglas Kim