Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor stock rally in the U.S. caused by Nvidia's monster results and guidance last week has caused multiple ADR premiums to surge to near all-time highs.</li>
<li>TSMC and UMC's ADR premiums don't appear sustainable given their trading history.</li>
<li>Telecom CHT wasn't affected by the Nvidia rally and now has one of the lowest ADR discounts in its history.</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor stock rally in the U.S. caused by Nvidia's monster results and guidance last week has caused multiple ADR premiums to surge to near all-time highs.
TSMC and UMC's ADR premiums don't appear sustainable given their trading history.
Telecom CHT wasn't affected by the Nvidia rally and now has one of the lowest ADR discounts in its history.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: ADR Premiums Surge to Near All-Time Highs on 'Nvidia-Rally'

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Yageo, Chunghwa Telecom, Wiwynn, Global Unichip, Genius Elec, Nan Ya Printed, Lotus, Silergy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Yageo, Chunghwa Telecom, Wiwynn, Global Unichip, Genius Elec, Nan Ya Printed, Lotus, Silergy.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 26th): Wistron, Yageo, Chunghwa Telecom, Wiwynn, Global Unichip

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium has enjoyed a significant rally perhaps due to increased international attention driven by positive U.S. and Japan news flow.</li>
<li>ASE's ADR premium has dropped to one of the lower values in its most recent range since the start of 2023, representing a gradual decline in this persistent premium.</li>
<li>Chunghwa Telecom's ADR is trading at a discount that likely represents a decent set-up level for this tightly trading spread.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium has enjoyed a significant rally perhaps due to increased international attention driven by positive U.S. and Japan news flow.
ASE's ADR premium has dropped to one of the lower values in its most recent range since the start of 2023, representing a gradual decline in this persistent premium.
Chunghwa Telecom's ADR is trading at a discount that likely represents a decent set-up level for this tightly trading spread.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Rallies as Japan & U.S. Entice Further Investment; CHT Discount

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR spread just experienced one of its largest one-period drops in recent history. The ADRs are now trading at a 2.3% premium after a 4.2% drop.</li>
<li>UMC ADR's are trading at a -1.1% discount to their Taiwan shares. The spread has mostly been trading in negative territory over the last month. UMC earnings coming this week.</li>
<li>ASE ADR's are trading at a 4.7% premium. ASE's Taiwan shares are down 10% since end-March, compared to a 5% drop for the TAIEX Semiconductor Index.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR spread just experienced one of its largest one-period drops in recent history. The ADRs are now trading at a 2.3% premium after a 4.2% drop.
UMC ADR's are trading at a -1.1% discount to their Taiwan shares. The spread has mostly been trading in negative territory over the last month. UMC earnings coming this week.
ASE ADR's are trading at a 4.7% premium. ASE's Taiwan shares are down 10% since end-March, compared to a 5% drop for the TAIEX Semiconductor Index.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC ADR Premium Hit by Large 1-Period Drop, UMC Discount & Earnings This Week

<ul>
<li>Taiwan ADR premiums have continued to decline; a long holiday in Taiwan has opened up some rare opportunities given U.S. markets kept trading.</li>
<li>UMC ADR's are trading at a rare relatively deep discount and represent an opportunity.</li>
<li>ChipMOS ADRs are also trading a rare relatively deep discount and are another opportunity to long the ADR spread.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan ADR premiums have continued to decline; a long holiday in Taiwan has opened up some rare opportunities given U.S. markets kept trading.
UMC ADR's are trading at a rare relatively deep discount and represent an opportunity.
ChipMOS ADRs are also trading a rare relatively deep discount and are another opportunity to long the ADR spread.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: Deep Discounts Open Up in Two Names After Multi-Day Taiwan Holiday

Taiwan

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. provides local, domestic, and international long distance services. The Company also offers wireless telecommunication, paging, and Internet services.

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Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings: ADR Premiums Surge to Near All-Time Highs on 'Nvidia-Rally'

The semiconductor stock rally in the U.S. caused by Nvidia's monster results and guidance last week has caused multiple ADR premiums to surge to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 26th): Wistron, Yageo, Chunghwa Telecom, Wiwynn, Global Unichip

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Yageo, Chunghwa Telecom, Wiwynn, Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Rallies as Japan & U.S. Entice Further Investment; CHT Discount

Chunghwa Telecom's ADR is trading at a discount that likely represents a decent set-up level for this tightly trading spread.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC ADR Premium Hit by Large 1-Period Drop, UMC Discount & Earnings This Week

UMC ADR's are trading at a -1.1% discount to their Taiwan shares. The spread has mostly been trading in negative territory over the last month. UMC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: Deep Discounts Open Up in Two Names After Multi-Day Taiwan Holiday

UMC ADR's are trading at a rare relatively deep discount and represent an opportunity. ChipMOS ADRs also at a deep discount.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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