Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We stick with RHB Bank only as our buy in Malaysian banks, for its fundamental value credentials</li>
<li>We downgrade two banks to neutral from buy ratings; we believe that there is limited share re-rating potential at CIMB and PB Bank going forward</li>
<li>We upgrade Maybank to a neutral from a sell rating, largely based on valuation; the extent of its de-rating can be seen in this report’s PBV and PE charts</li>
</ul>


We stick with RHB Bank only as our buy in Malaysian banks, for its fundamental value credentials
We downgrade two banks to neutral from buy ratings; we believe that there is limited share re-rating potential at CIMB and PB Bank going forward
We upgrade Maybank to a neutral from a sell rating, largely based on valuation; the extent of its de-rating can be seen in this report’s PBV and PE charts


Malaysian Banks; Narrowing Down Our Buy to Only RHB Bank, Lifting Sell on Maybank

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest is USD1,478m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in RHB Bank, JPG, Petronas Chemicals, Frontken, Kossan Rubber Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest is USD1,478m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in RHB Bank, JPG, Petronas Chemicals, Frontken, Kossan Rubber Industries.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): RHB Bank, JPG, Petronas Chemicals, Frontken

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Malaysian ownership continues its upward trend after a 10-year bear market in positioning from 2014 to 2023</li>
<li>Longer-Term ownership declines in Malaysian Financials and Industrials are starting to reverse.</li>
<li>Only 3 companies are owned by more than 10% of funds, with CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)  the clear leader.</li>
</ul>


Malaysian ownership continues its upward trend after a 10-year bear market in positioning from 2014 to 2023
Longer-Term ownership declines in Malaysian Financials and Industrials are starting to reverse.
Only 3 companies are owned by more than 10% of funds, with CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)  the clear leader.


Malaysia: Sentiment Change Drives Positioning Off the Lows

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated short interest is USD1,499m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Malayan Banking, RHB Bank, YTL, Greatech Technology, Genting.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated short interest is USD1,499m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Malayan Banking, RHB Bank, YTL, Greatech Technology, Genting.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Sep 11th): Malayan Banking, RHB Bank, YTL, Greatech Technology, Genting

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries</li>
<li>There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit</li>
<li>Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth</li>
</ul>


We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth


Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

Malaysia

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides commercial banking and related financial services. The Company and its subsidiaries, operate as a regional universal bank offering a full range of financial products and services, covering corporate and investment banking, consumer banking, treasury, insurance and asset management.

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CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)

Malaysian Banks; Narrowing Down Our Buy to Only RHB Bank, Lifting Sell on Maybank

We stick with RHB Bank only as our buy in Malaysian banks, for its value attributes; we downgrade CIMB and PB Bank to neutral from buy ratings, and...

Victor Galliano

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): RHB Bank, JPG, Petronas Chemicals, Frontken

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in RHB Bank, JPG, Petronas Chemicals,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Malaysia: Sentiment Change Drives Positioning Off the Lows

Among active Emerging Market funds, Malaysian ownership continues its upward trend after a 10-year bear market in positioning from 2014 to 2023.

Steven Holden

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Sep 11th): Malayan Banking, RHB Bank, YTL, Greatech Technology, Genting

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Malayan Banking, RHB Bank, YTL,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)