HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.</li>
<li>Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.</li>
<li>DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.
Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.
DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> has a solid 3Q23 with excellent new order pick-up, surging by 52.8% YoY on the back of strengths in clean energy and liquid food segments.</li>
<li>Hydrogen energy revenue is on target to reach Rmb700m in FY23. Meanwhile, management revealed that there is a slight gross margin expansion so far this year.</li>
<li>With order backlog rising 27.6% YoY to Rmb22.2bn at end-9M23, earnings outlook is well protected. Its net cash position is another credit, making its premium multiples justified.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) has a solid 3Q23 with excellent new order pick-up, surging by 52.8% YoY on the back of strengths in clean energy and liquid food segments.
Hydrogen energy revenue is on target to reach Rmb700m in FY23. Meanwhile, management revealed that there is a slight gross margin expansion so far this year.
With order backlog rising 27.6% YoY to Rmb22.2bn at end-9M23, earnings outlook is well protected. Its net cash position is another credit, making its premium multiples justified.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Surge in Overall New Order Momentum

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. </li>
<li>Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.</li>
<li>Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. 
Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.
Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.


Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Foreign exchange gains/losses are major swing factors in FY22 results of many companies and we think investors may have overlooked their importance in driving FY23 earnings. </li>
<li>With Rmb/USD exchange rate appreciated YTD, reversing the 8.5% depreciation in last year, the demons of many companies in last year will become positive earnings contributor. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2875:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kunlun-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10054:1" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK)</a> are key beneficiaries, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric (3899 HK)</a> may turned into exchange losses.</li>
</ul>


Foreign exchange gains/losses are major swing factors in FY22 results of many companies and we think investors may have overlooked their importance in driving FY23 earnings. 
With Rmb/USD exchange rate appreciated YTD, reversing the 8.5% depreciation in last year, the demons of many companies in last year will become positive earnings contributor. 

Shenzhen International (152 HK), ENN Energy (2688 HK), Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK) and Kunlun Energy (135 HK) are key beneficiaries, while CIMC Enric (3899 HK) may turned into exchange losses.


China Strategy: It Is the Foreign Exchange Impact, Stupid!

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 13th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Simcere Pharmaceutical, Tencent, Geely Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 13th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Simcere Pharmaceutical, Tencent, Geely Automobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 13th): Tencent Profit Taking

Hong Kong

CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets gas equipment.  The Company produces compressors, pressure vessels, gas refueling station trailers, and other gas equipment, as well as transportation equipment such as containers, trailers, tank equipments and airport equipments.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Surge in Overall New Order Momentum

CIMC Enric had a strong 3Q23 with a significant increase in new orders. The company's order backlog provides a positive earnings outlook. Net cash...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

China Strategy: It Is the Foreign Exchange Impact, Stupid!

Shenzhen Intl, ENN Energy, Shenzhen Expressway and Kunlun Energy are the key beneficiaries of the reverse in Rmb/USD depreciation trend in FY23,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 13th): Tencent Profit Taking

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Simcere Pharmaceutical, Tencent, Geely...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

​Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Surge in Overall New Order Momentum

​CIMC Enric had a strong 3Q23 with a significant increase in new orders. The company's order backlog provides a positive earnings outlook. Net cash...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

China Strategy: It Is the Foreign Exchange Impact, Stupid!

Shenzhen Intl, ENN Energy, Shenzhen Expressway and Kunlun Energy are the key beneficiaries of the reverse in Rmb/USD depreciation trend in FY23,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 13th): Tencent Profit Taking

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Simcere Pharmaceutical, Tencent, Geely...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...

CIMC Enric had a strong 3Q23 with a significant increase in new orders. The company's order backlog provides a positive earnings outlook. Net cash...