Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The company’s US revenue stood at $226 Mn, reflecting a 1.7% YoY decrease, although this was affected by lower Lanreotide supply issues. </li><li>India’s branded prescription segment grew by 10% YoY as key therapies like Respirator, Urology, etc.has performed well.</li><li>Chronic products now comprise 61.5% of revenue, continuing to outpace IPM growth. However, the Acute segment remains impacted by seasonal challenges.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company’s US revenue stood at $226 Mn, reflecting a 1.7% YoY decrease, although this was affected by lower Lanreotide supply issues. India’s branded prescription segment grew by 10% YoY as key therapies like Respirator, Urology, etc.has performed well.Chronic products now comprise 61.5% of revenue, continuing to outpace IPM growth. However, the Acute segment remains impacted by seasonal challenges.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CIPLA Ltd - CIPLA Delivers Despite U.S. Struggles

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.</li>
<li>Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  </li>
<li>Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.</li>
</ul>


We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.
Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  
Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.


Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, with revenue growing 18% YoY, driven by India and the U.S., both of which reported record high revenue.  </li>
<li>Stellar performance across all markets drove EBITDA to multi-quarter highs. EBITDA margin expanded 230 bps YoY and 310 bps QoQ to 23.6%. Net profit increased 45% YoY to INR10 billion.</li>
<li>Cipla expects the average revenue run rate of $210–215M from its U.S. business in the coming quarters. For FY24, management has raised EBITDA margin guidance to 23% from 22%.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, with revenue growing 18% YoY, driven by India and the U.S., both of which reported record high revenue.  
Stellar performance across all markets drove EBITDA to multi-quarter highs. EBITDA margin expanded 230 bps YoY and 310 bps QoQ to 23.6%. Net profit increased 45% YoY to INR10 billion.
Cipla expects the average revenue run rate of $210–215M from its U.S. business in the coming quarters. For FY24, management has raised EBITDA margin guidance to 23% from 22%.


2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Stellar Q1FY24 Performance; Margin Guidance Raised

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Sharekhan's research report onCipla Cipla’s revenue reached Rs. 7,051 crore, reflecting a 7% y-o-y increase and a 6% q-o-q rise, meeting our expectations.</li><li>EBITDA stood at Rs. 1,886 crore with 15% y-o-y growth; it slightly missed our estimates by 1% and margins remained steady at 27%.</li><li>Cipla is poised for growth in North America, driven by demand for its generic asthma drug and cancer injectables, along with four new approvals secured during the quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sharekhan's research report onCipla Cipla’s revenue reached Rs. 7,051 crore, reflecting a 7% y-o-y increase and a 6% q-o-q rise, meeting our expectations.EBITDA stood at Rs. 1,886 crore with 15% y-o-y growth; it slightly missed our estimates by 1% and margins remained steady at 27%.Cipla is poised for growth in North America, driven by demand for its generic asthma drug and cancer injectables, along with four new approvals secured during the quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cipla Ltd - Meaningful New Launches to Drive Growth

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

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Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

CIPLA Ltd - CIPLA Delivers Despite U.S. Struggles

The company’s US revenue stood at $226 Mn, reflecting a 1.7% YoY decrease, although this was affected by lower Lanreotide supply issues.

Axis Direct

Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

We have screened APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies with market cap≥$800M using Smartkarma’s Smart Score and picked up 2 investable ideas by...

Tina Banerjee

2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Stellar Q1FY24 Performance; Margin Guidance Raised

Q1FY24 result beat expectations. Both India and the U.S. businesses reported record high revenue. EBITDA rose to multi-quarter high. For FY24,...

Tina Banerjee

Cipla Ltd - Meaningful New Launches to Drive Growth

Sharekhan's research report onCipla Cipla’s revenue reached Rs. 7,051 crore, reflecting a 7% y-o-y increase and a 6% q-o-q rise, meeting our...

Sharekhan

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52-week Range

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