Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Market sentiment remains optimistic, we anticipate the rally to continue with 20,200 on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> as a trend check level. </li>
<li>There are concerns about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> growth in personal loans in the near term, but the merchant side provides a large enough opportunity.  </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


Market sentiment remains optimistic, we anticipate the rally to continue with 20,200 on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) as a trend check level. 
There are concerns about Paytm (PAYTM IN) growth in personal loans in the near term, but the merchant side provides a large enough opportunity.  
Other names discussed include Eicher Motors (EIM IN), Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN), and Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) 


[Week 12] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Opportunity Size Outweigh Growth Concerns

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> clocked record-high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B (+15% YoY), and EBITDA margin of 26%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.</li>
<li>U.S. business reported highest ever revenue of $229M. India revenue is up 10% YoY, driven by continued market beating performance in branded prescription and trade generics businesses.</li>
<li>Cipla raised FY24 EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 23% to 24% with bias towards the higher end. The company started FY24 with an EBITDA margin guidance of 21–22%.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) clocked record-high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B (+15% YoY), and EBITDA margin of 26%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.
U.S. business reported highest ever revenue of $229M. India revenue is up 10% YoY, driven by continued market beating performance in branded prescription and trade generics businesses.
Cipla raised FY24 EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 23% to 24% with bias towards the higher end. The company started FY24 with an EBITDA margin guidance of 21–22%.


2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Margin Guidance Raised

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Global generics revenue increased 9% YoY to INR61 billion, mainly driven by double-digit growth in North America and Europe generic businesses, partly offset by muted growth in domestic market.</li>
<li>Revenue from North America generics increased 13% y/y to INR31.7 billion, driven by growing momentum in core portfolio, Mayne integration, and favorable Fx. Pricing environment remains stable.</li>
<li>Despite increase in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses, EBITDA grew 13% YoY to INR 21.8 billion. Net profit increased 33% YoY to INR14.8 billion. Both EBITDA and net profit topped estimates.</li>
</ul>


Global generics revenue increased 9% YoY to INR61 billion, mainly driven by double-digit growth in North America and Europe generic businesses, partly offset by muted growth in domestic market.
Revenue from North America generics increased 13% y/y to INR31.7 billion, driven by growing momentum in core portfolio, Mayne integration, and favorable Fx. Pricing environment remains stable.
Despite increase in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses, EBITDA grew 13% YoY to INR 21.8 billion. Net profit increased 33% YoY to INR14.8 billion. Both EBITDA and net profit topped estimates.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Highest Ever Sales and Profit in Q2; Good Show in Key Markets

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> recorded 30% YoY growth in revenue to INR51B in Q1FY24, driven by 57% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 6% YoY.</li>
<li>US business growth was driven by new product launches and improvement in base business. The company has launched four new products in the US during the quarter.</li>
<li>Zydus Lifesciences expects double-digit growth in India branded formulation business to continue and the U.S. business to grow on a formidable base of FY23 going forward.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 30% YoY growth in revenue to INR51B in Q1FY24, driven by 57% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 6% YoY.
US business growth was driven by new product launches and improvement in base business. The company has launched four new products in the US during the quarter.
Zydus Lifesciences expects double-digit growth in India branded formulation business to continue and the U.S. business to grow on a formidable base of FY23 going forward.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:98:1" rel="noopener">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)</a> reported 11% YoY revenue growth to INR118B in Q1FY24, mainly driven by the U.S. business. EBITDA margin expanded 109bps to 27.9%.</li>
<li>Net profit declined 2% YoY to INR20B due to certain one-off charges amounting to INR3B. Excluding the exceptional items, adjusted net profit grew 14% YoY to INR23B.</li>
<li>With 26 marketed products globally, Sun Pharma is betting big on specialty products. Specialty pipeline includes 5 molecules undergoing clinical trials. Specialty R&amp;D accounts for 35% of total R&amp;D spends.</li>
</ul>



Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) reported 11% YoY revenue growth to INR118B in Q1FY24, mainly driven by the U.S. business. EBITDA margin expanded 109bps to 27.9%.
Net profit declined 2% YoY to INR20B due to certain one-off charges amounting to INR3B. Excluding the exceptional items, adjusted net profit grew 14% YoY to INR23B.
With 26 marketed products globally, Sun Pharma is betting big on specialty products. Specialty pipeline includes 5 molecules undergoing clinical trials. Specialty R&amp;D accounts for 35% of total R&amp;D spends.


Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q1 Profit Falls Due to One-Off Expenses; Double-Digit Revenue Growth

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

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Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)

[Week 12] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Opportunity Size Outweigh Growth Concerns

Market sentiment remains optimistic with the NIFTY Index as a trend check level. Concerns about Paytm's growth. Other names discussed: Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Margin Guidance Raised

In Q2, Cipla clocked record high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B, up 15% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 26%. The company raised FY24 EBITDA margin...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Highest Ever Sales and Profit in Q2; Good Show in Key Markets

Revenue increased 9% YoY to INR69B, beating street’s expectation of INRINR68, driven by double-digit growth North America and Europe. Net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

Quarterly revenue surpassed INR50B mark for 2nd consecutive quarter. Even upon a high base, US revenue increased 8% sequentially driven by new...

Tina Banerjee

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q1 Profit Falls Due to One-Off Expenses; Double-Digit Revenue Growth

Sun Pharma reported 11% sales growth to INR118B in Q1, driven by the US business. Net profit declined 2% to INR20B due to one-off charges....

Tina Banerjee

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[Week 12] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Opportunity Size Outweigh Growth Concerns

​Market sentiment remains optimistic with the NIFTY Index as a trend check level. Concerns about Paytm's growth. Other names discussed: Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Margin Guidance Raised

In Q2, Cipla clocked record high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B, up 15% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 26%. The company raised FY24 EBITDA margin...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Highest Ever Sales and Profit in Q2; Good Show in Key Markets

Revenue increased 9% YoY to INR69B, beating street’s expectation of INRINR68, driven by double-digit growth North America and Europe. Net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

Quarterly revenue surpassed INR50B mark for 2nd consecutive quarter. Even upon a high base, US revenue increased 8% sequentially driven by new...

Tina Banerjee

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q1 Profit Falls Due to One-Off Expenses; Double-Digit Revenue Growth

Sun Pharma reported 11% sales growth to INR118B in Q1, driven by the US business. Net profit declined 2% to INR20B due to one-off charges....

Tina Banerjee

Market sentiment remains optimistic with the NIFTY Index as a trend check level. Concerns about Paytm's growth. Other names discussed: Eicher...