Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a> has reported solid set of numbers for Q3FY23, with revenue increasing 11% YoY, EBITDA growing 32% YoY, and net profit improving 39% YoY.</li>
<li>North America revenue increased 12% YoY and 8% QoQ to record high of INR21B. Strong momentum in complex portfolio and continued cost optimization are driving consistent profitable growth in U.S.</li>
<li>Complex generics are expected to contribute 50%+ of revenue in the next couple of years. This calls for accelerated growth and better margin.</li>
</ul>



Lupin Ltd (LPC IN) has reported solid set of numbers for Q3FY23, with revenue increasing 11% YoY, EBITDA growing 32% YoY, and net profit improving 39% YoY.
North America revenue increased 12% YoY and 8% QoQ to record high of INR21B. Strong momentum in complex portfolio and continued cost optimization are driving consistent profitable growth in U.S.
Complex generics are expected to contribute 50%+ of revenue in the next couple of years. This calls for accelerated growth and better margin.


Lupin Ltd (LPC IN): Differentiated Portfolio Drives Solid Q3FY25 Performance; Momentum to Continue

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 13 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 13 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in February.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported Q3FY25 US business revenue of INR33.8B, up 1% YoY, mainly dragged by lower contribution from Lenalidomide. Q3FY25 EBITDA margin deteriorated to 27.5% (Q3FY24: 29.3%).</li>
<li>Limited growth catalysts remain major overhang. No near-term key launches lined-up to fill the void created by Lenalidomide. Moreover, paltry new launches in the U.S. entail limited revenue visibility.</li>
<li>Lack of near-term catalyst and bleak growth outlook justify cheaper valuation of Dr. Reddy’s. We do not consider Dr. Reddy’s as value buying opportunity and remain bearish on the name.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported Q3FY25 US business revenue of INR33.8B, up 1% YoY, mainly dragged by lower contribution from Lenalidomide. Q3FY25 EBITDA margin deteriorated to 27.5% (Q3FY24: 29.3%).
Limited growth catalysts remain major overhang. No near-term key launches lined-up to fill the void created by Lenalidomide. Moreover, paltry new launches in the U.S. entail limited revenue visibility.
Lack of near-term catalyst and bleak growth outlook justify cheaper valuation of Dr. Reddy’s. We do not consider Dr. Reddy’s as value buying opportunity and remain bearish on the name.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q3FY25 Result- Subdued US Business Dents Margin; Somber Outlook

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indegene-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36629:1" rel="noopener">Indegene Limited (1864095D IN)</a> was listed in India on 13th May 2024 after raising US$221m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 5th Nov 2024. </li>
<li>Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) was listed in India on 13th May 2024 after raising US$221m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 5th Nov 2024. 
Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Indegene Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+ Lockup Release, Some Could Look to Book 3x Gain

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

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Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Lupin Ltd (LPC IN): Differentiated Portfolio Drives Solid Q3FY25 Performance; Momentum to Continue

Lupin reports strong Q3FY23 result with revenue up 11% YoY, EBITDA up 32% YoY, and PAT up 39% YoY. North America revenue hits record high, driven...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 5...

Brian Freitas

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q3FY25 Result- Subdued US Business Dents Margin; Somber Outlook

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories reports stagnant US revenue in Q3FY25, dragged by lower contribution from Lenalidomide. Lack of growth catalysts...

Tina Banerjee

Indegene Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+ Lockup Release, Some Could Look to Book 3x Gain

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) was listed in India on 13th May 2024 after raising US$221m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 5th Nov 2024.

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Lupin Ltd (LPC IN): Differentiated Portfolio Drives Solid Q3FY25 Performance; Momentum to Continue

​Lupin reports strong Q3FY23 result with revenue up 11% YoY, EBITDA up 32% YoY, and PAT up 39% YoY. North America revenue hits record high, driven...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 5...

Brian Freitas

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q3FY25 Result- Subdued US Business Dents Margin; Somber Outlook

​Dr. Reddy's Laboratories reports stagnant US revenue in Q3FY25, dragged by lower contribution from Lenalidomide. Lack of growth catalysts...

Tina Banerjee

Indegene Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+ Lockup Release, Some Could Look to Book 3x Gain

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) was listed in India on 13th May 2024 after raising US$221m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 5th Nov 2024.

Clarence Chu

Lupin reports strong Q3FY23 result with revenue up 11% YoY, EBITDA up 32% YoY, and PAT up 39% YoY. North America revenue hits record high, driven...

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories reports stagnant US revenue in Q3FY25, dragged by lower contribution from Lenalidomide. Lack of growth catalysts...